Rupee India menguat 50 paise akibat penurunan harga minyak mentah

Rupee India mencatatkan kinerja terkuatnya dalam hampir sebulan pada hari Rabu, naik 50 paise terhadap dolar AS. Kenaikan ini terjadi setelah Arab Saudi memangkas harga minyak mentah bagi para pembeli di Asia, sehingga mengurangi tekanan pada biaya impor India. Arus masuk investor asing ke ekuitas lokal juga mendukung mata uang tersebut.

Rupee ditutup lebih tinggi setelah membalikkan kerugian yang tercatat selama tiga sesi sebelumnya. Para pelaku pasar menyebut berkurangnya ketegangan geopolitik dan beroperasinya kembali pengiriman melalui Selat Hormuz sebagai faktor positif tambahan.

Para analis mencatat bahwa biaya minyak yang lebih rendah membantu memperbaiki sentimen di pasar valas. Harga minyak mentah Brent bergerak turun menyusul penyesuaian harga oleh Arab Saudi, yang secara langsung menguntungkan posisi transaksi berjalan India.

Investor portofolio asing menambah minat beli pada ekuitas India, memberikan dukungan lebih lanjut bagi mata uang domestik. Efek gabungan ini mengangkat rupee ke pencapaian harian terbaiknya dalam hampir satu bulan.

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Illustration of Indian markets declining due to geopolitical tensions with Iran, showing traders and falling financial indicators.
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Indian markets and rupee decline as Trump signals end of Iran truce

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Indian stocks and the rupee fell sharply on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump signaled the end of a truce with Iran. Fresh US strikes on Iran and rising oil prices triggered the selloff. Gold and silver prices also extended losses in Mumbai trading.

The Indian rupee continues to weaken against the US dollar. On Tuesday, it hovered around 95.36 in early trading. Since the beginning of this year, the currency has fallen by around 5.64 per cent.

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The Indian rupee sank to a fresh record low against the US dollar, fueled by soaring energy import costs during an ongoing energy crisis and accelerating capital outflows. This has intensified pressure on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to potentially hike interest rates, ending a pause in monetary tightening.

Indian stock markets rose more than 1 percent on Monday as the Nifty index crossed back above 24,000. The gains followed positive global signals including hopes for a US-Iran deal and lower oil prices.

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Indian equities are poised for a fifth straight session of losses as GIFT Nifty signals a weak start. Investor sentiment has turned fragile following a sharp rise in Brent crude prices.

The rupiah reached Rp17,500 per US dollar on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. The pressure stems from a mix of global and domestic factors.

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Global fund managers are reconsidering exits from Indian stocks as falling oil prices and rupee stabilization reduce key concerns. Daily foreign selling has slowed while inflows into India-focused ETFs have turned positive. Analysts note that attractive valuations could support a market rerating if earnings growth holds.

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