Ongoing Iran war volatility hits Sensex, Nifty; retail portfolios in red

India's Sensex and Nifty continued to decline on March 5 amid persistent uncertainties from the Iran conflict, surging crude prices, and fears of escalation, compounding the sharp initial drop earlier in the week. Retail investors saw mutual fund and stock portfolios turn negative, prompting advice on navigating wartime volatility.

Following the initial market shock from US and Israel strikes on Iran— which killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and led to the Strait of Hormuz closure (see prior coverage)—Sensex and Nifty faced further declines as of March 5, 2026. Investors reacted to ongoing war uncertainties, volatile crude oil prices (Brent above $82 per barrel), and risks of wider conflict disrupting global supplies, including India's oil imports.

Retail investors have been particularly affected, with many mutual fund and equity portfolios slipping into losses. An India Today analysis titled 'Investing in times of war: Panic, pause or buy the dip?', published March 6, 2026, discusses strategies like avoiding panic selling, pausing new investments, or opportunistically buying dips amid volatility.

This extends the market turmoil that saw Nifty drop over 2% and Sensex nearly 3.4% on March 2, underscoring sustained pressure on sectors like oil marketing, aviation, and chemicals.

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Illustration depicting panic at Bombay Stock Exchange as markets lose Rs 20 lakh crore amid crude oil surge to $100 from Iran conflict, with falling charts and rupee.
Gambar dihasilkan oleh AI

Pasar India kehilangan Rs 20 lakh crore akibat lonjakan minyak mentah

Dilaporkan oleh AI Gambar dihasilkan oleh AI

Harga minyak mentah yang melampaui $100 telah menghapus Rs 20 lakh crore dari pasar ekuitas India minggu ini, di tengah eskalasi konflik Iran. Rupiah mencapai rekor terendah karena investor institusional asing terus menjual, memperparah penurunan. Para ahli menilai kepanikan ini bisa menjadi peluang beli jangka panjang.

Indian stock markets recorded a sharp decline on Monday due to escalating tensions in West Asia. US and Israel strikes on Iran caused crude oil prices to surge, heightening investor caution. Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, potentially disrupting global oil supplies.

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Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty are poised for a gap-down open, potentially erasing gains from last week's ceasefire rally, after US-Iran truce talks in Islamabad collapsed without resolution. Experts flag renewed West Asia tensions and volatility ahead.

Setelah serangan AS dan Israel ke Iran yang membunuh Pemimpin Tertinggi Ali Khamenei dan memicu gangguan Selat Hormuz, harga minyak naik hampir 8% di tengah ketegangan yang berlangsung. Pasar India kehilangan Rs 6,35 lakh crore pada Selasa, dengan rupee melemah karena kekhawatiran pasokan. Secara global, dolar menguat sebagai safe haven sementara yen dan euro melemah.

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Indeks saham India melonjak lebih dari 1% pada hari Senin, bangkit dari kerugian awal. Pemulihan ini dipicu oleh usulan gencatan senjata di Asia Barat dan harga minyak mentah yang stabil. Nifty ditutup pada level 22.968,25, sementara Sensex berakhir di angka 74.106,85.

Tokyo stocks plunged on March 9, 2026, as surging oil prices fueled by escalating Middle East tensions rattled investors. The Nikkei 225 average fell 5.2% to close at 52,728.72, after dipping as much as 7.6% intraday. Fears of inflation and economic slowdown intensified amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran.

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Building on earlier concerns over GDP growth projections, the escalating West Asia war is pressuring Indian equity markets and disrupting footwear and textile sectors through supply shortages and cost spikes. Prashant Jain of 3P Investment Managers views the impact as marginal and transient, while industry reports show input costs up 10-50%.

 

 

 

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