Tesla Rolls Out Incentives to Counter Q4 Sales Slump

Following November's US sales plunge, Tesla launched aggressive December incentives including 0% financing and free Supercharging to hit record Q4 deliveries amid declines in the US and Europe, offset by China growth.

In response to weakening demand exposed in prior reports, Tesla introduced December 2025 incentives to prevent a second annual sales decline. Offers include 0% APR financing for up to 72 months on Model Y Standard, no-down-payment leasing, 2,000 miles of free Supercharging for gas car trade-ins, and up to $1,500 in complimentary upgrades like premium paint and wheels on inventory vehicles.

Tesla needs 555,000 Q4 deliveries—a quarterly record—just to match 2024 totals, after Elon Musk's October forecast of 20-30% growth faltered. Europe saw sharp November drops (e.g., 58% in France, 59% in Sweden), linked to competition and Musk's politics, while China Model 3/Y sales rose 9.9% YoY.

Stock rose 2.7% to $458.96 on December 12. Analysts are split: Morgan Stanley downgraded to Equal Weight ($425 target), consensus Buy ($389). Tesla advances autonomy, planning unsupervised Model Y robotaxis in Austin soon, and recalled 12,963 vehicles for battery issues.

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Tesla launches aggressive end-of-year incentives in the US

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Tesla has introduced a series of incentives to boost sales in the final weeks of 2025, including free upgrades on inventory vehicles, 0% APR financing, and $0 down leases. These measures come after the end of the federal EV tax credit pulled demand forward into the third quarter. The offers aim to clear inventory and maximize deliveries by December 31.

Tesla's unusual pre-earnings consensus of 422,850 Q4 2025 vehicle deliveries—a 15% drop from 2024 and below Wall Street's 440,000-445,000 forecast—highlights persistent EV headwinds. Added challenges include a post-tax-credit US sales trough, Chinese rivals, and a nearly 30% plunge in European demand linked to CEO Elon Musk's political activities.

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Building on initial December promotions amid global sales challenges, Tesla details U.S.-focused incentives like zero-percent financing, $299 monthly leases, and three months of free Full Self-Driving to clear inventory and offset lost federal tax credits after November's sub-40,000 unit sales.

Tesla is set to report its fourth-quarter electric vehicle deliveries on or around January 2, capping a second year of declining sales amid fierce competition. Despite a 25% stock rise in 2025, the company's high valuation raises doubts about its investment appeal. Investors are eyeing future products like the Cybercab and Optimus, but near-term challenges dominate.

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Tesla shares dipped slightly to around $447 on December 12, 2025, following a sharp 23% year-over-year U.S. November sales drop to 39,800 vehicles—the lowest since January 2022—and board member Kimbal Musk's $25.6 million share sale on December 9. This adds to recent pressures, including Morgan Stanley's downgrade last week, amid an 'EV winter' and divided analyst views.

Tesla's US EV market share jumped 30% to 56% in November 2025 despite a 23% sales drop to 39,800 units—the weakest quarter since 2022—while overall EV sales fell 41% post-tax credit expiration. Legacy rivals like Ford and GM face billions in losses amid a fragmented market.

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Following the previously reported sharp US sales drop, Tesla saw further declines in November 2025 across the UK (19% fall), Europe (30%), and China (6%), driven by fierce competition from BYD, an aging product lineup, Cybertruck recalls, and CEO Elon Musk's polarizing image.

 

 

 

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