El Niño
Energy Minister Palma advances Air-e crisis measures amid El Niño threat
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Colombia’s Mines and Energy Minister Edwin Palma defended his handling of the Air-e financial crisis—ongoing since early 2026 with $1.6 trillion in debts—and announced key steps: a targeted $8/kWh surcharge on high-income users, a Creg proposal for more energy contracting ahead of El Niño, and calls for structural reforms in the Caribbean region's electricity sector.
International weather centers warn of a possible super El Niño between 2026 and 2027. Ideam reports a 61 percent chance the phenomenon will set in between late May and June.
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Following earlier forecasts of dry southwestern winters, the South African Weather Service's latest outlook through September 2026 warns of a potential super El Niño by May, threatening summer droughts, while Western Cape dams sit at critically low 46% capacity.
Building on earlier forecasts of heavy rains persisting through April, the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (Ideam), led by Ghisliane Echeverry, announced the official start of Colombia's first rainy season of 2026, which is set to continue until mid-June. The announcement follows an atypical first quarter with above-normal rainfall across most departments, preventing the customary dry season from December to March.
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Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts most regions will enter an early dry season in April 2026, influenced by the end of a weak La Niña and potential El Niño.