米商品先物取引委員会（CFTC）は、予測市場の運営者に対する規制上の救済措置としてノーアクションレターを発行しました。この措置により、完全担保型のイベント契約に関するスワップデータ報告規則の順守義務が緩和されます。
このノーアクションレターは、指定契約市場、清算機関、および参加者に対し、特定のスワップの記録保持およびデータ報告要件からの免除を認めるものです。本措置は、予測市場で取引される完全担保型のイベント契約に具体的に適用されます。
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The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued its initial proposed rulemaking on prediction markets Wednesday. The rules aim to clarify which event contracts qualify as being in the public interest under federal law.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Securities and Exchange Commission opened a public comment period on June 18 to define swaps, mixed swaps, and event contracts. The process will shape oversight of crypto perpetual futures and prediction markets.
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Venture capital firm a16z has filed an 18-page letter backing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in its disputes with states over prediction markets. The firm argues that federal law preempts state regulations on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. It claims state crackdowns undermine the CFTC's mandate for impartial market access.
U.S. President Donald Trump called it critically important for the CFTC to retain exclusive authority over prediction markets in a Truth Social post late Tuesday afternoon.
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SEC Chair Paul Atkins proposed a limited innovation pathway for on-chain trading systems during a May 8 speech. The approach draws from the agency's 1990s handling of electronic markets and aims to provide conditional access before permanent rules are set.
The U.S. Senate has passed a resolution prohibiting senators and their staff from using prediction markets. S. Res. 708 took effect immediately upon passage.
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Representative Bryan Steil introduced legislation to prevent members of Congress from wagering on prediction markets tied to public policy issues.