China digs in for trade struggles with dual growth and resilience strategy

After witnessing the effects of a tumultuous trade war with the United States this year, China's top leaders have issued a directive to fortify the domestic economy against persistent or even heightened trade frictions. Analysts see the leadership's language after the central economic work conference as an admission that trade tensions are expected to endure and expand beyond the US, including to partners like the European Union.

Following the central economic work conference, China's leadership has emphasized the need to address trade frictions, with the use of the word “struggles” interpreted by analysts as Beijing's assessment that such tensions will endure and may extend beyond the US to partners like the European Union.

This year, China has endured a tumultuous trade war with the United States, prompting top leaders to issue directives aimed at bolstering the domestic economy's resilience against ongoing or intensified frictions. Analysts note that while “stabilising foreign trade” and “stabilising foreign investment” have been mentioned to varying degrees each year, their importance and urgency for 2026 remain as significant as in 2025. “Although ‘stabilising foreign trade’ and ‘stabilising foreign investment’ have been addressed to varying degrees each year … their importance and urgency [in 2026] remain no less significant than in 2025,” said economists led by Lian Ping, chairman of the China Chief Economists Forum, in a Friday note.

This dual strategy seeks to balance growth with resilience to navigate potential trade challenges. Beijing's assessment reflects a cautious approach to the global trade environment, especially amid lingering effects from the US trade war. Experts view this as a signal that China is gearing up for broader international trade pressures.

関連記事

Xi Jinping speaks at China's Central Economic Work Conference in Beijing, with leaders and economic charts on screens.
AIによって生成された画像

China holds central economic conference to plan 2026 priorities

AIによるレポート AIによって生成された画像

Chinese leaders convened in Beijing on December 10-11 for the annual Central Economic Work Conference, where Xi Jinping delivered a keynote speech reviewing 2025 economic performance, assessing challenges, and outlining 2026 priorities. The meeting emphasized boosting domestic demand, fostering innovation, deepening reforms, and expanding opening-up to promote high-quality development.

中国共産党の最高理論誌である『求是』は、貿易の再均衡に向けた取り組みを再確認した。保護主義の台頭や地政学的な緊張といった世界環境の悪化が、「持続不可能」な輸出主導型の成長モデルからの転換を急務にしていると述べている。論評では、中国の貿易収支を形作る状況が大きく変化しており、外国貿易部門の根深い脆弱性が依然として顕著であると指摘した。

AIによるレポート

As China enters the first year of its 15th Five-Year Plan, policymakers are prioritizing underlying stability and balance over mere growth rates. Recent measures include targeted fiscal support and incentives for care services. This approach aims to foster sustainable development amid global uncertainties.

A US court ruling on tariffs has lowered effective duties, easing tensions and steering the upcoming April summit between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump towards stability rather than escalation. Analysts say the decision strengthens China's negotiating position, with the summit expected to focus on extending a fragile truce rather than major concessions.

AIによるレポート

中国商務省は金曜日、米国の慣行に対する2件の貿易障壁調査の開始を発表した。これは、ワシントンが中国に対して行った2件の通商法301条に基づく調査への対抗措置と説明されている。調査の対象は、世界のサプライチェーンや環境製品の貿易を阻害し、世界貿易機関(WTO)の規則や二国間合意に違反する可能性のある米国の措置である。調査は6か月以内に完了する予定だが、必要に応じて3か月の延長も可能となっている。

In a virtual conversation at the University of Hong Kong’s Centre on Contemporary China and the World, Chinese scholar Wang Jisi warned that the current world order of ‘two superpowers and many strong powers’ faces growing risks of conflict. He voiced concerns about America’s inward turn under US President Donald Trump, Washington’s pursuit of containment in geopolitical and geoeconomic terms, and mounting cross-strait tensions.

AIによるレポート

At the Munich Security Conference, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi stated that China seeks a proper way for the two major countries to coexist through dialogue and consultation, but achieving this ultimately depends on the United States. He also accused Japan of harboring 'angry ambitions for the invasion and colonisation of Taiwan'. Wang emphasized that China would continue on this path in the interest of their peoples and in line with international expectations.

 

 

 

このウェブサイトはCookieを使用します

サイトを改善するための分析にCookieを使用します。詳細については、プライバシーポリシーをお読みください。
拒否