Matt Van Epps celebrates Republican victory in Tennessee 7th District special election over Democrat Aftyn Behn.
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Republican Matt Van Epps defeats Democrat Aftyn Behn in Tennessee special election

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Republican Matt Van Epps won Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District special election, defeating Democrat Aftyn Behn by roughly nine points and narrowing, but not erasing, the GOP’s prior edge in the solidly conservative district. Republican strategists say the outcome underscores the risks they see for Democrats in nominating candidates they describe as too far to the left in competitive races.

The special election in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District, held on December 2, 2025, saw Republican Matt Van Epps defeat Democratic state Rep. Aftyn Behn in a closely watched contest that drew national attention.

According to official results reported by PBS and summarized in race tallies, Van Epps received about 53.9% of the vote, while Behn took about 45.1%, an 8.9‑point margin. (en.wikipedia.org) The outcome keeps the seat in Republican hands after the resignation of Rep. Mark Green, a Republican, who stepped down in July 2025 to take a private‑sector job. (en.wikipedia.org) Van Epps was sworn into office on the Thursday following the election, filling the vacancy for the remainder of the current Congress. (en.wikipedia.org)

Green had previously carried the district by about 21 percentage points in 2024, and former President Donald Trump also won there by roughly 22 points, underscoring the district’s Republican lean. (en.wikipedia.org) Van Epps’ smaller margin has been read by some analysts as evidence that Democrats modestly improved their performance, even as Republicans retained the seat. (apnews.com)

The race featured heavy involvement from national political figures. President Trump endorsed Van Epps and, according to The Daily Wire, phoned into a rally with House Speaker Mike Johnson (R‑La.) to energize Republican voters. (dailywire.com) Democratic leaders also invested in the contest: outlets including the Associated Press and The Washington Post have reported that high‑profile Democrats such as Vice President Kamala Harris campaigned or recorded messages in support of Behn, as part of a broader effort to test national messaging on economic issues in red states. (apnews.com)

Behn, a state lawmaker who has emphasized affordability and cost‑of‑living issues, framed her campaign as proof that Democrats can compete even in deep‑red territory. The Daily Wire reported that she posted on X after the race, writing: “Tonight, we did something everyone counted out. We proved to a nation that states like Tennessee are still worth fighting for. The margin was close, and that can only be attributed to the thousands of volunteers who showed out. This is just the beginning.” (dailywire.com)

Behn emerged as the Democratic nominee from a crowded primary that included consultant Darden Copeland and state Reps. Bo Mitchell and Vincent Dixie. She won that October 7 primary by a relatively narrow margin, according to local election results and subsequent reporting. (en.wikipedia.org) Republican strategists interviewed by The Daily Wire characterized her as the most progressive candidate in the field and argued that such a profile made it harder for Democrats to win in the district. (dailywire.com)

In an analysis published by The Daily Wire, Colin Reed of South & Hill Strategies called Van Epps’ 8.9‑point victory “nearly a double digit win” and described him as the “type of candidate the GOP needs more of,” while warning that the broader midterm political climate “remains challenging” for Republicans. Reed argued that Democrats “need to nominate less extreme candidates if they want to compete beyond the deep blue bastions of America,” reflecting a common GOP view of Behn’s politics. (dailywire.com)

Chris Burger of Rotunda Public Affairs told The Daily Wire that “voters weren’t buying what she’s selling,” labeling Behn a “far‑left socialist” and contending that she was out of step with district values. An additional Republican operative, speaking on background to the outlet, called the nearly nine‑point margin “very encouraging” but cautioned that special elections often differ from standard general elections because of turnout patterns. (dailywire.com)

Those GOP assessments came as both parties parsed what the Tennessee result might signal for the 2026 midterms. The Daily Wire noted that Republicans currently hold 220 seats in the U.S. House, compared with 213 for Democrats, with two vacancies, leaving the narrow majority hinging on the 218 votes needed to control the chamber. (dailywire.com) Other outlets, including The Washington Post and The Week, have similarly described the 7th District race as a potential early indicator of how each party’s messaging on issues such as inflation, affordability and Trump’s influence may play in competitive districts next cycle. (washingtonpost.com)

While Republicans celebrated holding the seat, Democrats pointed to the roughly 13‑point shift toward their party compared with 2024 margins as evidence that even a loss could offer a template for making inroads in historically safe Republican districts. (apnews.com)

人々が言っていること

Republicans on X celebrated Matt Van Epps' nine-point victory in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District special election as a key hold for the slim House majority and a rejection of far-left Democrat Aftyn Behn. Democrats praised Behn's overperformance compared to Trump's 2024 margin in the district as encouraging despite the loss. Conservatives warned that the narrower win signals risks ahead of 2026 midterms if messaging on affordability and other issues falters. Analysts pointed to strong Democratic gains in Nashville as a factor in the closer race.

関連記事

Illustration of Matt Van Epps's close win in Tennessee's 7th District House special election, raising GOP alarms for 2026 midterms.
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共和党のマット・ヴァン・エップス氏、テネシー特別下院選挙で一桁差で勝利、GOPに警鐘

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共和党のマット・ヴァン・エップス氏は2025年12月2日の特別選挙でテネシー州第7選挙区を死守し、2024年にドナルド・トランプ氏が約22ポイント差で制した同区で9ポイント未満の僅差で勝利した。予想を上回る民主党への傾きは、共和党内で2026年中間選挙への懸念を呼び起こしており、民主党はこれを伝統的な共和党地盤での勢力拡大の証拠と位置づけている。

民主党のアフトン・ベーン氏は2025年12月2日のテネシー州第7議会区特別選挙で共和党の長年の優位を縮め、民主党はこの結果を2026年中間選挙を前にGOP寄りの地域でより積極的に競争できる証拠として喧伝しているが、党のイデオロギー的方向性をめぐる内部議論は続いている。

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Voters in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District headed to the polls on December 2, 2025, for a special election between Republican Matt Van Epps and Democrat Aftyn Behn to replace resigned Rep. Mark Green. The race, in a district Donald Trump carried by more than 20 points in 2024, has drawn national attention and millions of dollars in outside interest as polls suggested a competitive contest, with one recent survey showing Van Epps leading by 2 points, within the margin of error.

共和党は、最近の特別選挙での変化と不利な世論調査データを受けて、2026年の中間選挙に対する懸念を強めている。テキサス、ミシシッピ、ジョージアなどの伝統的な共和党の牙城での特別選挙が民主党寄りに傾き、潜在的な脆弱性を示唆している。市場予測と調査によると、民主党が下院と上院の両方を奪還する可能性がある。

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2025年の非定期選挙および特別選挙において、民主党はペンシルベニア州のカントン事務所からモンタナ州の市長選挙に至る地方や小都市コミュニティで一連の地方勝利を収め、州全体の選挙でも地方地域のシフトから利益を得た、とThe Nationや他のメディアが引用した報道とデータによる。

テキサスの共和党員は2025年に、2026年の米下院で最大5議席追加確保を目指した新たな議会地図を承認し、米最高裁が今月これを復活させた。民主党は州全体での連続敗北を喫しているが、一部のアナリストは、1990年代のカリフォルニアの政治再編に慎重な類似性を引きつつ、同州が時間とともに競争力が高まる可能性を主張している。

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インディアナ州上院が31対19でトランプ支持の連邦下院選挙区再編計画を拒否し、この計画は同州の民主党下院議員2議席をほぼ確実に抹消するはずだった後、この措置に反対した共和党議員らはトランプとマイク・ブラウン州知事からの予備選挑戦の脅威に直面し、分析家らはこの敗北が保守州でも中期選挙区変更の限界を示すと指摘した。

 

 

 

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