Realistic depiction of Colombia's informal labor market precarity, with worried workers and pension shortfall graph.
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Anif warns of intermittent formality impacts in Colombia

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Anif has warned about the consequences of 'intermittent formality' in Colombia's labor market, affecting the accumulation of quoted weeks and social protection. According to Asofondos, only one in four workers accesses a pension due to persistent informality. This leads to employment precarization and challenges for the retirement of millions of Colombians.

Colombia's labor market shows improvements, with informality reduced to 55.1% this year and unemployment at 8.2% in September, according to Anif. However, the entity highlights that formality has a 'temporary face', with active contributors decreasing and inactive ones increasing. Until May 2024, the difference between active and inactive affiliates was narrowing, but in June inactives surpassed actives by 779,000 people. By August 2025, 47% are active and 53% inactive, with a gap of 1.2 million.

This intermittency implies frequent disaffiliations, reducing quoted weeks for pensions and weakening protection in old age. Anif notes that 'frequent rotation may reflect precarization of formal employment, where short-term contracts without contributions become the norm, eroding traditional stability'.

Meanwhile, Asofondos estimates that only 25% of workers achieve a pension, while 75% spend more than a third of their working life in informality or unemployment. Women have contributed less than 23% of the time (for example, a 30-year-old woman has contributed 1.8 years instead of 8), and men less than 27% (2.2 years). 'Informality is a current and future problem, a time bomb for the old age of millions of Colombians', said Andrés Velasco, president of Asofondos. Addressing this 'labor gap' could increase pensions by 50% to 70%.

Proposals include promoting formalization, productivity, and quality employment to mitigate these effects.

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Recent X discussions, primarily from ANIF and journalists, echo warnings about 'intermittent formality' in Colombia's labor market, where formal jobs lack stability, hindering pension accumulation and social protection. Opinions stress the labor market as the root issue for low pension coverage amid persistent informality.

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Photorealistic image of happy Colombian workers symbolizing 8.2% unemployment rate drop, blending formal and informal jobs in urban setting.
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Colombia's unemployment rate falls to 8.2% in October 2025

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Dane reported that Colombia's unemployment rate in October 2025 was 8.2%, the lowest for an October since 2017, with 2.1 million people unemployed. This marks a drop of 0.9 percentage points from October 2024. However, Andi warned about the rise in labor informality amid job creation.

A University of Buenos Aires report reveals that nearly 70% of young people aged 16 to 24 work informally in Argentina. Factors such as lack of education and poverty drive this situation, which particularly affects young men. Meanwhile, the overall unemployment rate fell to 6.6% in the third quarter of 2025.

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In December 2025, Colombia created 603,000 new jobs, lowering the unemployment rate to 8.0%, a drop of 1.1 percentage points from 2024. Yet, 55.5% of workers, or about 13.45 million people, remain in informal employment. Experts note progress but warn of ongoing structural challenges in the labor market.

Economists Bernardo Fontaine and Bettina Horst have warned that the poverty drop revealed by the Casen 2024 survey stems mainly from state subsidies, not rising autonomous household incomes. In a Radio Agricultura discussion, both experts—potential cabinet picks for José Antonio Kast—criticized the growing state dependence and fiscal fragility. The poverty rate fell to 17.3%, but gaps persist, especially among migrants.

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The Autonomous Fiscal Rule Committee (Carf) warns that the recent 23% minimum wage hike to $2 million—decreed on December 30—could cost $5.3 trillion in 2026 (0.3% of GDP), complicating fiscal sustainability. Labor Minister Antonio Sanguino announced plans to desindex key goods from the wage and provide SME relief to curb inflation.

The Senate's Finance Committee started reviewing the public sector readjustment bill, presented by Finance Minister Nicolás Grau. Deputies approved a 3.4% gradual salary increase but rejected the 'tie-breaker norm' aimed at greater job stability. Opposition anticipates rejecting that provision again in the Senate.

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Following President Petro's announcement and Labor Minister Antonio Sanguino's confirmation of the 2026 minimum wage decree—due December 29-30 and introducing the 'vital wage' concept—the Central Unitaria de Trabajadores (CUT) demands a 16% rise, while industry leaders caution against inflating living costs amid over 5% inflation.

 

 

 

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