Informal economy drives 25.4% of Mexico's GDP in 2024

Mexico's informal economy reached its highest contribution to GDP in 2024, accounting for 25.4% of the total, according to preliminary INEGI data. This marks a 3.2 percentage point increase since 2020, underscoring the persistence of labor informality affecting 54.4% of the employed population.

The INEGI's Informal Economy Measurement for 2024 shows that informality generated one in every four pesos of national GDP, a record since data has been available since 2003. The informal sector contributed 14.5%, and other modalities, such as subsistence agriculture and domestic service, added 10.9%.

This 0.7 percentage point increase from 2023 highlights more dynamic growth in informality: while total GDP rose 1.4%, the formal economy advanced only 0.5% and the informal surged 4.3%. INEGI notes that "for every 100 pesos of the country's GDP, formal workers generated 75 pesos and those in informality, 25 pesos".

In the third quarter of 2025, out of 59.5 million employed, 33 million worked informally (55.4%), compared to 26.5 million in the formal sector. This results in a gap of 1.2 informals per formal, with no notable improvements in job quality despite wage increases.

Informality persists as the main avenue for income generation, though it is less productive. In this context, Víctor Piz argues that "it is essential to accelerate the growth of the economy and formal employment in 2026", to prevent informality from continuing as the primary driver of economic growth.

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Split-image illustration showing Mexico's booming FDI inflows contrasting with industrial stagnation and GDP decline.
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Mexico's economy shows contrasts with record FDI and stagnation

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Mexico recorded a record foreign direct investment of 40,906 million dollars in the first nine months of 2025, a 14.5% increase from 2024. However, GDP contracted 0.3% in the third quarter and the IGAE fell 0.6% in September, indicating economic stagnation. Analysts warn of fragility in the industrial sector and risks to employment.

A University of Buenos Aires report reveals that nearly 70% of young people aged 16 to 24 work informally in Argentina. Factors such as lack of education and poverty drive this situation, which particularly affects young men. Meanwhile, the overall unemployment rate fell to 6.6% in the third quarter of 2025.

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In December 2025, Colombia created 603,000 new jobs, lowering the unemployment rate to 8.0%, a drop of 1.1 percentage points from 2024. Yet, 55.5% of workers, or about 13.45 million people, remain in informal employment. Experts note progress but warn of ongoing structural challenges in the labor market.

India recorded an 8.2% GDP growth in the second quarter, driven by strong manufacturing and services sectors. However, the International Monetary Fund has assigned a 'Grade C' to the country's national income accounting practices, highlighting structural weaknesses. This assessment underscores questions about the long-term sustainability of the growth amid uneven sectoral performance.

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Economist Gabriel Casillas forecasts a 2026 for Mexico with improved growth prospects, driven by the US economy and a light political agenda. He anticipates gradual fiscal consolidation and early inflationary challenges impacting interest rates. He also highlights the T-MEC review and minor local elections.

China's National Bureau of Statistics announced on Monday that the country's gross domestic product grew 5 percent in 2025 to reach 14.02 trillion yuan, meeting the government's target of around 5 percent. Despite a slowdown to a three-year low of 4.5 percent in the fourth quarter, the economy remained steady amid the US trade war.

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Colombia's rural sector recorded 4.8 million occupied people in 2025, the highest figure since 2021, according to DANE. The rural unemployment rate dropped to 6.7%, the lowest in seven years, driven by 103,000 new jobs in agriculture. Agriculture Minister Martha Carvajalino credited these advances to policies under President Gustavo Petro's government.

 

 

 

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