Illustration of international experts at the Tokyo Economic Security Forum discussing supply chain security and strategic materials amid global trade tensions.
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Tokyo hosts inaugural economic security forum

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Japan's government is hosting the inaugural Tokyo Economic Security Forum on December 15 in Tokyo. Amid global uncertainties from the US-China trade war and high tariffs under the Trump administration, experts from around the world will discuss securing strategic materials and protecting supply chains. The importance of public-private collaboration is highlighted.

The Tokyo Economic Security Forum will be held at Nikkei Hall in Chiyoda Ward, Tokyo, with participation from Japanese government officials, representatives from Europe and India, corporate executives, and think tank experts. Following the opening session, four panel discussions will cover policy strategies, public-private partnerships, supply chain stability for critical minerals, and international cooperation. Companies such as NEC, IBM, and General Motors will join the discussions.

This forum serves as the centerpiece of the Economic Security Global Forum Weeks, running from September to December, with more than 20 related events planned. The backdrop includes the faltering WTO-centered free trade system, supply chain disruptions from Russia's invasion of Ukraine since 2022, and protectionist reciprocal tariffs imposed by the Trump administration in April. China announced expanded export restrictions on rare earths on October 9, underscoring the strategic importance of the resource, which it dominates with 70% of global production and 90% of refining. Implementation was postponed after the Trump-Xi summit on October 30, but tensions between liberal democracies and the authoritarian bloc, including China and Russia, persist.

In an interview, Kazuto Suzuki, professor at the University of Tokyo's Graduate School of Public Policy, stated, “Economic security is a major pillar of Japan’s growth strategy. We need a long-term perspective on investments to reduce vulnerabilities and enhance 'indispensability' in areas like materials and semiconductor equipment where Japan's fine-tuning expertise is unmatched.” The government has committed about ¥1.8 trillion in support to Rapidus Corp. for next-generation semiconductors, with over another ¥1 trillion by fiscal 2027. Investments come from Toyota Motor Corp., Sony Group Corp., and SoftBank Corp. Trial mining of an estimated 16 million tons of rare earths near Minami-Torishima Island is set to begin as early as January.

On December 14, the Liberal Democratic Party's Headquarters for the Promotion of Economic Security proposed using the Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) to fund Japanese companies' overseas expansion, aiming to secure supply chains for essential materials. It also calls for accelerated discussions on data security measures and strengthening the inbound investment screening system, akin to the U.S. CFIUS. Secretary General Yasutaka Nakasone said, “The important thing is to enhance its functionality and improve the accuracy of investment screening.” Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi noted on November 7, “Japan is finding itself in the midst of the most severe and complex security environment since the end of World War II.”

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Following China's ban on dual-use exports to Japan's military, a Wall Street Journal report revealed broader restrictions on rare earths to Japanese firms. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama condemned the moves and said Japan will outline its stance at next week's G7 finance ministers' meeting in Washington.

Around 50 government officials, researchers, and others from Japan and India gathered in New Delhi for a meeting to discuss promoting economic security cooperation between the two countries. Participants confirmed the importance of establishing supply chains spanning both nations for strategic materials like semiconductors and rare earth minerals. Both countries face the shared challenge of diversifying supply chains amid China's export restrictions on rare earths and the protectionist high-tariff policies of U.S. President Donald Trump's administration.

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Building on plans for next week's G7 finance ministers' meeting, Japan is pursuing broader diplomatic outreach. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama heads to the US starting Sunday for critical minerals talks, Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi meets his US counterpart Thursday, and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will summit with South Korea's Lee Jae-myung next week.

With Japan's defense budget on the rise, manufacturers specializing in defense materials like radar and missiles are expanding workforces and increasing capital expenditures. This is driven by the government's five-year plan starting in fiscal 2023 for substantial budget increases and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's proactive defense stance. Companies anticipate further order growth, turning defense-related business into a burgeoning sector.

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The Japanese government plans to include economic security information in the specially designated secrets law. The draft revision was approved by the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's policy division and is expected to be adopted by the Cabinet as early as year-end. It aims to bolster information security by integrating with the newly introduced security clearance program.

For the first time since 1967, serious strategists in Tokyo's security establishment are openly discussing whether Japan should reconsider its Three Non-Nuclear Principles. This shift remains largely unknown on the streets of Shibuya or in Kyoto's university lectures. The author terms this disconnect Japan's 'security autism,' a fragmented perception that hinders coherent responses to existential threats in liberal democracies.

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Following China's January 6 ban on dual-use exports to Japan—retaliation for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Taiwan remarks—South Korea's industries face risks from interconnected supply chains. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources held an emergency meeting on January 8 to evaluate impacts and pledged safeguards against shortages.

 

 

 

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