Realistic image depicting South Korea's slowing industrial output contrasted with strong semiconductors and improving retail investment, for 2025 economic news.
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South Korea's industrial output growth hits five-year low in 2025

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South Korea's industrial output grew at the slowest pace in five years in 2025, despite robust performance in the semiconductor sector. Retail sales and facility investment showed signs of improvement, according to government data.

South Korea's industrial output increased by 0.5 percent year-on-year in 2025, down from 1.5 percent the previous year, marking the weakest growth since 2020 when production contracted due to the COVID-19 pandemic. According to data from the Ministry of Statistics and Data, mining and manufacturing output, the economy's backbone, rose 1.6 percent, with semiconductor production surging 13.2 percent amid rising global demand driven by the artificial intelligence boom.

"Semiconductors strongly drove growth in 2025," said Lee Doo-won, a ministry official. "We saw a virtuous cycle with expanded investment in semiconductor facilities and equipment." Retail sales, a key gauge of private consumption, climbed 0.5 percent year-on-year, rebounding from a decline and marking the first positive growth in four years after three years of shrinkage. The uptick was led by a 4.5 percent jump in durable goods sales, such as passenger vehicles, though semidurable goods like clothing fell 2.2 percent and nondurable goods including cosmetics dipped 0.3 percent. Growth was particularly strong in the third quarter, fueled by government consumption coupons.

Facility investment advanced 1.7 percent for the second straight year, supported by demand for transportation equipment and chip-related machinery. However, construction investment weakened, with orders dropping 16.2 percent. In December, industrial output rose 1.5 percent month-on-month, driven by semiconductors and automobiles, while retail sales increased 0.9 percent, rebounding from November's decline. Facility investment, however, fell 3.6 percent, largely due to a 16.1 percent drop in transport equipment like ships and aircraft.

These figures highlight a manufacturing-led recovery in South Korea's economy, tempered by ongoing challenges in construction.

O que as pessoas estão dizendo

X discussions note South Korea's 2025 industrial output growth at 0.5%, the slowest in five years, despite robust semiconductor gains from AI boom. Reactions include neutral reports, highlights of retail and investment improvements, critiques of government stimulus insufficiency, and concerns over weaknesses hidden by semis.

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Split-image illustration contrasting South Korea's rising industrial output from semiconductors with sharp retail sales decline, featuring factory production and empty malls.
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Industrial output rises 0.9% in November; retail sales post sharpest fall in 21 months

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South Korea's industrial output grew 0.9 percent in November, driven by strong semiconductor production, while retail sales fell 3.3 percent, the sharpest drop in 21 months. Data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics attributes the retail decline to the fading effects of the Chuseok holiday and base effects. Cumulative retail sales for January to November rose 0.4 percent, suggesting a possible positive annual figure.

South Korea's industrial production fell 2.5 percent in October, the steepest monthly drop in over five years, due mainly to a base effect in semiconductor output. Retail sales rebounded 3.5 percent, boosted by the extended Chuseok holiday. Facility investment declined 14.1 percent.

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South Korea's gross domestic product grew 1 percent in 2025 from the previous year, according to Bank of Korea data, but the fourth quarter saw an unexpected 0.3 percent contraction. Strong exports drove the annual figure despite weakness in construction. This marks half the 2 percent expansion of 2024.

South Korea's exports rose 33.9 percent year-on-year in January to $65.85 billion, fueled by strong demand for semiconductors. This marked the highest January figure on record and the first time surpassing $60 billion for the month. The trade surplus reached $8.74 billion, extending the streak to 12 consecutive months, according to Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources data.

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More than half of economic experts expect South Korea's economic growth to remain in the 1 percent range this year, according to a local survey. The poll, conducted by Southernpost Inc. for the Korea Enterprises Federation (KEF), showed 54 percent of 100 economics professors holding this view. The average forecast stands at 1.8 percent, below the government's 2 percent outlook and the IMF's 1.9 percent projection.

South Korea's inflationary pressure eased to the lowest level in five years in 2025, following the sharpest price growth in decades during the post-pandemic period. Consumer prices, a key gauge of inflation, increased 2.1 percent on-year, slightly above the Bank of Korea's 2 percent target. The figure marks the lowest annual level since 0.5 percent in 2020.

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South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

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