Realistic image depicting South Korea's slowing industrial output contrasted with strong semiconductors and improving retail investment, for 2025 economic news.
Realistic image depicting South Korea's slowing industrial output contrasted with strong semiconductors and improving retail investment, for 2025 economic news.
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South Korea's industrial output growth hits five-year low in 2025

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South Korea's industrial output grew at the slowest pace in five years in 2025, despite robust performance in the semiconductor sector. Retail sales and facility investment showed signs of improvement, according to government data.

South Korea's industrial output increased by 0.5 percent year-on-year in 2025, down from 1.5 percent the previous year, marking the weakest growth since 2020 when production contracted due to the COVID-19 pandemic. According to data from the Ministry of Statistics and Data, mining and manufacturing output, the economy's backbone, rose 1.6 percent, with semiconductor production surging 13.2 percent amid rising global demand driven by the artificial intelligence boom.

"Semiconductors strongly drove growth in 2025," said Lee Doo-won, a ministry official. "We saw a virtuous cycle with expanded investment in semiconductor facilities and equipment." Retail sales, a key gauge of private consumption, climbed 0.5 percent year-on-year, rebounding from a decline and marking the first positive growth in four years after three years of shrinkage. The uptick was led by a 4.5 percent jump in durable goods sales, such as passenger vehicles, though semidurable goods like clothing fell 2.2 percent and nondurable goods including cosmetics dipped 0.3 percent. Growth was particularly strong in the third quarter, fueled by government consumption coupons.

Facility investment advanced 1.7 percent for the second straight year, supported by demand for transportation equipment and chip-related machinery. However, construction investment weakened, with orders dropping 16.2 percent. In December, industrial output rose 1.5 percent month-on-month, driven by semiconductors and automobiles, while retail sales increased 0.9 percent, rebounding from November's decline. Facility investment, however, fell 3.6 percent, largely due to a 16.1 percent drop in transport equipment like ships and aircraft.

These figures highlight a manufacturing-led recovery in South Korea's economy, tempered by ongoing challenges in construction.

人々が言っていること

X discussions note South Korea's 2025 industrial output growth at 0.5%, the slowest in five years, despite robust semiconductor gains from AI boom. Reactions include neutral reports, highlights of retail and investment improvements, critiques of government stimulus insufficiency, and concerns over weaknesses hidden by semis.

関連記事

Vibrant illustration of South Korea's February industrial output surging 2.5%, fastest in over five years, with booming factories and rising investment graphs.
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韓国の2月鉱工業生産、2.5%増で5年以上ぶりの高い伸びを記録

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韓国の2月の鉱工業生産指数は前月比2.5%上昇し、5年8カ月ぶりの高い伸びとなった。政府統計によると、小売売上高は横ばいだった一方、設備投資は13.5%の大幅増となった。中東情勢の緊張による影響は現時点で限定的である。

4月30日に発表された公式データによると、3月の韓国の鉱工業生産、小売売上高、設備投資はいずれも前月比で増加した。これら3つの指標すべてが前月比で増加したのは昨年9月以来となる。省庁の担当者は、中東情勢の危機が経済に及ぼす影響は現時点では確認されていないと述べた。

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韓国の2026年第1四半期の実質GDPは、中東情勢の緊張にもかかわらず、前期比1.7%増と5年半ぶりの高い伸びを記録し、半導体の好調な輸出と堅調な内需により韓国銀行の予想である0.9%を大幅に上回った。これは2025年の年間成長率1%という緩やかな伸びからの反発の一部である(シリーズ前回の記事を参照)。

韓国関税庁が火曜日に発表したデータによると、4月最初の20日間の韓国の輸出額は、半導体需要の堅調な伸びに支えられ、前年同期比49.4%増の504億ドルとなった。輸入額は17.7%増の399億ドルで、104億ドルの貿易黒字となった。

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South Korea's inflation-adjusted home prices fell 1.6 percent in the third quarter of 2025 from a year earlier, ranking 47th among 56 major economies. This marks the 13th consecutive quarter of on-year contraction. Data from the Bank of Korea and the Bank for International Settlements shows prices have been declining since the third quarter of 2022.

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