France's 2026 public deficit averages 3614 euros per fiscal household

The 2026 finance bill was passed using Article 49.3 of the Constitution, despite the Prime Minister's initial promise against it. The public deficit is projected at 5% of GDP, down from 5.4% in 2025, exceeding 150 billion euros overall. This amounts to an average of 3614 euros per one of the 41.5 million fiscal households.

The French government took four months to draft the 2026 finance bill (PLF), a process described as laborious by columnist Jean-Pierre Robin. Against the Prime Minister's initial pledge, the bill was passed using Article 49.3, putting the government's responsibility on the line.

In his letter to parliamentarians, Minister Sébastien Lecornu frames the budget as a «redressement des comptes publics», with the overall state and administrations deficit at 5% of GDP in 2026, down from 5.4% in 2025. Yet, Robin points out that this shortfall will surpass 150 billion euros, equating to 3614 euros per fiscal household on average, across 41.5 million households.

This deficit level echoes the 9% of GDP peak in 2020, during the Covid-19 pandemic and the «quoi qu'il en coûte» policy. Robin draws an ironic parallel to a papal conclave, referencing «Habemus legem» and the fictional election of Pope Léon XIV in spring 2025. He titles his column: «Ce sont désormais les enfants qui financent les repas dans les familles françaises», highlighting the generational burden of public debt.

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French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presents the 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts in a press conference at the National Assembly.
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French government unveils 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts

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On October 14, 2025, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presented the 2026 finance bill, aiming to cut the public deficit to 4.7% of GDP through €14 billion in extra tax revenues and €17 billion in spending savings. The budget targets high earners, businesses, and social expenditures, while drawing criticism over its feasibility.

The French state recorded a deficit of 125 billion euros in 2025, a 31.6 billion drop from 2024, thanks to robust tax revenues, Bercy announced on February 3. This improvement, the strongest since 2020, still hides ongoing debt pressures. Public spending remained steady, while revenues exceeded forecasts.

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The National Assembly resumes examination in commission on Thursday of the state budget for 2026, after a failed first reading. Public accounts minister Amélie de Montchalin rules out no method to pass the bill, including Article 49.3. The government aims for a deficit below 5% in 2026.

A poll reveals that 52% of French people anticipate the failure of the 2026 finance bill and want a censure motion against the Lecornu government. The finance commission rejected the first part of the budget, and debates in the National Assembly begin this Friday without using article 49.3. Oppositions, like the RN and socialists, threaten to block the bill with their counter-proposals.

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Following Parliament's unanimous adoption of a special finance law on December 23, 2025, to bridge funding amid failed 2026 budget talks, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu insists a compromise remains possible in January. Yet, the measure—echoing last year's—prolongs uncertainty rooted in the June 2024 National Assembly dissolution, with significant fiscal and political costs.

The French government canceled Thursday the debates scheduled for Friday and Monday at the National Assembly on the 2026 budget bill, postponing them to Tuesday, when it may opt for Article 49.3 or ordinances to pass the text without a vote. This decision follows what Matignon calls 'continuous sabotage' by RN and LFI deputies, making adoption by vote impossible. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu will present proposals Friday to attempt a compromise and avoid censure.

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After several days of intense debates in the National Assembly, the 2026 finance bill increasingly resembles a 'Frankenstein' budget, a patchwork of contradictory amendments complicating its final adoption. The executive, avoiding Article 49.3, faces strong opposition on measures like the surtax on multinationals and limits on sick leave. Lawmakers from all sides have adopted or suppressed key provisions, raising the risk of overall rejection.

 

 

 

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