Bank of Japan raises policy rate to 0.75%

The Bank of Japan decided on December 19 to raise its short-term policy rate target from 0.5% to 0.75%, marking a 30-year high since 1995 and the first increase since January. The move anticipates wage hikes and aims to achieve the 2% inflation target amid elevated inflation and a weak yen.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided on December 19, following a two-day meeting, to raise its short-term policy rate target from the current about 0.5% to about 0.75%. This level is the highest in 30 years since 1995 and marks the first rate increase since January.

The BOJ appears to have concluded that wage increases will be achieved in the 2026 shunto spring wage negotiations, paving the way to its 2% inflation target. However, it had kept the policy rate unchanged for six consecutive policy-setting meetings since the January hike, due to high uncertainty from the U.S. President Donald Trump administration's tariff policy.

Japan's economy faces sustained elevated inflation, a weak yen against the dollar, and falling real wages. The decision was widely expected by economists and analysts. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is scheduled to speak later on Friday to provide more details.

This rate hike symbolizes a turning point for the Japanese economy, signaling a departure from prolonged low-interest policies.

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Illustration of Bank of Japan rate hike to 0.75% amid yen depreciation and market unease.
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Bank of Japan raises rates as yen weakens

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The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 0.75% from 0.5% on December 20, marking a 30-year high aimed at curbing inflation. However, the yen weakened sharply against the dollar and other major currencies. Markets reacted with sales due to the BOJ's vague outlook on future hikes.

Following its December 19-20 policy meeting, the Bank of Japan raised its rate to 0.75%, prompting yen fluctuations, sustained high inflation, bank rate adjustments, and measured government support amid U.S. tariff concerns and shunto wage prospects.

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A former executive director of the Bank of Japan predicts up to four interest rate hikes by 2027. The central bank is widely expected to raise borrowing costs to 0.75% on December 19, its first move since January, with three more increases potentially following. Governor Kazuo Ueda will likely indicate that the cycle is not over even after this hike, according to Hideo Hayakawa.

Japan's benchmark 10-year government bond yield rose to 2.230 percent in Tokyo trading on January 19, 2026, reaching its highest level since February 1999 in 27 years. The increase stems from concerns about worsening fiscal health ahead of a House of Representatives election. Pledges for consumption tax cuts by major parties are raising fears of more bond issuance.

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South Korea's central bank decided to keep its benchmark interest rate at 2.5 percent during a monetary policy meeting in Seoul on January 15. This marks the fifth consecutive hold since July, driven by a weakened won and inflation concerns that limit further easing. BOK Governor Rhee Chang-yong emphasized a data-driven approach, leaving room for potential rate cuts in the next three months amid high uncertainty.

As confirmed by Finance Ministry monthly data, Japan avoided direct market intervention to support the yen this month. By leveraging fears of coordinated action with the U.S., the yen has improved from the fringes of 160 against the dollar to the 154 range. This strategy offers short-term relief amid looming elections and economic pressures.

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Government data showed Japan's household spending rose 2.9% year-on-year in November, defying forecasts of a 0.9% decline. The increase, driven by automobile-related expenses and dining out, indicates a steady recovery in private consumption.

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