China's manufacturing PMI edges down to 50.3 in April

China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell slightly to 50.3 in April from 50.4 the previous month, though it exceeded expectations. New export orders and imports expanded for the first time since early 2024, but softer domestic activity pushed the non-manufacturing PMI into contraction. Price pressures remained in expansionary territory, indicating ongoing reflation.

China's manufacturing PMI stood at 50.3 for April, a marginal decline from March's 50.4, yet it outperformed forecasts, according to data analyzed by Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at Seeking Alpha. This stability reflects resilience in the sector despite broader economic challenges. New export orders and imports returned to expansionary levels above 50 for the first time since early 2024, signaling improved external demand and trade activity. The non-manufacturing PMI, however, slipped back into contraction territory below 50, driven by weaker domestic activity. This divergence highlights persistent softness in internal consumption even as external factors provide some support. Price pressures continued firmly in expansionary territory, with indicators above 50, which suggests that China's reflation process is ongoing. Officials have not yet commented publicly on the April figures.

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Illustration depicting South Korea's rising industrial output, retail sales, and facility investment in March, with factories, shoppers, construction, and upward charts.
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South Korea's industrial output, retail sales and facility investment rise in March

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South Korea's industrial output, retail sales and facility investment all rose from a month earlier in March, official data showed on April 30. It marked the first time since September that all three indicators posted on-month growth. A ministry official said the Middle East crisis has not yet impacted the economy.

South Africa's manufacturing sector returned to expansion in April, with the Absa Purchasing Managers’ Index climbing to 52.6. This marks the first growth since September, up from 49 in March. The improvement stemmed mainly from stronger business activity and new sales orders.

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China's consumer price index rose 0.2 percent year on year in January, missing market expectations, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. This marked the fourth consecutive monthly increase, though at a slower pace than December's 0.8 percent rise. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, showed a moderate upward trend amid recovering consumer demand.

Chile's Central Bank reported that the Economic Activity Index (Imacec) fell 0.3% in February, accumulating a 0.4% contraction in the first two months of the year. Goods production dropped 3.7%, though mining saw a slight rebound. Economists are adjusting forecasts for 2026 GDP near 2%.

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South Korea's industrial output rose 2.5% in February from the previous month, the fastest growth in five years and eight months. Government data showed retail sales unchanged while facility investment jumped 13.5%. The Middle East crisis has had minimal impact so far.

After a 2.6% drop in economic activity in February, according to INDEC, private consultancies estimate a March recovery driven by agriculture. Equilibra forecasts a 1.5% year-on-year rise and 1% monthly desesasonalized. The first quarter would end with 0.4% growth versus 2025.

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South Korea's business sentiment for May remains pessimistic due to the prolonged Middle East crisis, a Federation of Korean Industries survey showed Thursday. The business survey index for the top 600 companies by sales stood at 87.5, below the 100 benchmark where pessimists outnumber optimists. This marks two consecutive months below the line.

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