Diesel price rollback expected next week

A slight rollback in diesel prices is expected next week amid renewed hopes for a Ukraine-Russia ceasefire that has eased global supply concerns. Oil industry experts forecast a per-liter cut of P0.10 to P0.30 for diesel and about P0.65 for kerosene.

Oil industry experts predict a potential per-liter price cut of P0.10 to P0.30 for diesel, while gasoline may rise or fall by P0.10. The kerosene estimate does not yet include oil companies' operating costs and other premiums. These projections stem from trading results in the Mean of Platts Singapore (MOPS), a key pricing benchmark for petroleum products, over the past four days.

Final price adjustments will be announced on Monday and take effect the following day. “Oil prices eased as investors shifted focus back to Russia-Ukraine peace talks,” Department of Energy assistant director Rodela Romero said yesterday. She added that Iraq's restored production at Lukoil’s West Qurna 2 oilfield, one of the world's largest, also applied downward pressure on prices.

Although this week's average MOPS prices have eased week-on-week, Jetti Petroleum president Leo Bellas noted that the weakening peso against the dollar diminished the potential rollback at domestic pumps. The local currency fell to a fresh record low of 59.22 to the dollar last Tuesday. “Also, the freight and premium components, while these have tapered down as well, are still elevated,” Bellas said.

Last Tuesday, oil firms raised gasoline prices by P1.20 per liter, with no changes for diesel and kerosene.

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Realistic photo of a Philippine gas station celebrating fuel price rollbacks to P23 per liter for diesel, with happy drivers amid jeepneys and price signs.
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Fuel prices roll back up to P23 per liter starting April 14 after weeks of Middle East-driven hikes

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Oil firms confirmed price rollbacks effective 6 a.m. Tuesday, April 14, matching Department of Energy projections: diesel down P20.89 to P23 per liter, gasoline P4.43 to P4.50, and kerosene P8.50. The cuts end surges of over P100 on diesel since late February's Middle East crisis. President Marcos suspended excise taxes on LPG and kerosene, while a jeepney subsidy launches.

Diesel prices in Metro Manila could drop to P70 to P90 per liter next week. Local fuel retailers are expected to implement fresh rollbacks following progress in Middle East peace talks.

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Following last week's rollbacks, diesel prices are forecast to drop another P17 to P19 per liter and gasoline P2 to P3 per liter starting April 21, potentially taking diesel below P130, as Middle East tensions ease further with a holding ceasefire.

Fuel prices will increase again on Tuesday, May 5, with diesel rising by P2.66 per liter and gasoline by P2.21 per liter, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said. Kerosene prices will decline by P3.53 per liter.

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Oil companies raised gasoline and diesel prices on May 19 while lowering kerosene rates, citing renewed geopolitical risks in the Middle East. The Department of Energy set maximum adjustments to stabilize the market.

Global crude oil prices fell more than 12 percent this week, prompting expectations of possible relief at Kenyan fuel pumps in the coming weeks. The decline followed a preliminary ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. Kenya imports most of its petroleum and remains sensitive to movements in international markets.

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Fuel prices in Metro Manila remained unchanged at elevated levels over the Easter weekend, with diesel holding at P133.19 per liter—above the national average—as Filipinos returned from Holy Week holidays.

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