DraftKings odds heavily favor Mendoza as No. 1 pick in 2026 NFL Draft

Sportsbooks project Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the overwhelming favorite to go first overall to the Las Vegas Raiders in the 2026 NFL Draft. DraftKings lists defensive standouts Arvell Reese, David Bailey, running back Jeremiyah Love and linebacker Sonny Styles as top choices for picks two through five. The draft is set for April 23-25 in Pittsburgh.

The 2026 NFL Draft, scheduled for April 23-25 in Pittsburgh, draws early attention from sportsbooks following the completion of free agency and the NFL Scouting Combine. DraftKings Sportsbook has installed Indiana's Fernando Mendoza as a -20000 favorite for the Las Vegas Raiders at No. 1 overall. Mendoza, who won the Heisman Trophy and led the Hoosiers to an undefeated season and College Football Playoff national championship, topped the FBS with 41 passing touchdowns and 48 total touchdowns in 2025. He posted a 72% completion rate and 9.3 yards per attempt, shining in the postseason with nine touchdowns and zero turnovers in the playoff run, including more passing scores than incompletions in key games en route to beating Miami in the title game. He would mark Indiana's first No. 1 pick since 1938 and join an elite group of Heisman winners and national champions taken first since the common draft era began, alongside Cam Newton, Jameis Winston and Joe Burrow. Raiders minority owner Tom Brady reportedly admires his underdog story from Florida via California to Indiana stardom, starting as the No. 250 prospect. At No. 2, the New York Jets favor Ohio State's Arvell Reese at -250 odds. The 6-foot-4, 241-pound defender ran a 4.46-second 40-yard dash, best among EDGE prospects, earned All-American honors and Big Ten Linebacker of the Year with 69 tackles, 6.5 sacks and 10 tackles for loss. Texas Tech's David Bailey sits as the +250 choice for the Arizona Cardinals at No. 3 after tying for the FBS lead with 14.5 sacks, adding 52 tackles, 19.5 tackles for loss and 81 pressures. Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love leads at -135 for the Tennessee Titans at No. 4, the Doak Walker Award winner with 1,372 rushing yards, 18 touchdowns and 40 total scores over two seasons—the most in FBS. Ohio State's Sonny Styles tops projections for the New York Giants at No. 5 with his combine-best 43.5-inch vertical and 82 tackles.

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Raiders draft Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza No. 1 overall in 2026 NFL Draft stage moment.
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Raiders select Mendoza first overall in 2026 NFL Draft

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The Las Vegas Raiders chose Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft's first round on Thursday night in Pittsburgh. The New York Jets followed by selecting Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey at No. 2, while the Arizona Cardinals made waves by taking Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love third overall, the highest-drafted RB since 2018. Several trades and high-profile selections marked the early going of the event.

Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza, selected No. 1 overall by the Las Vegas Raiders in the 2026 NFL Draft's first round, skipped the Pittsburgh event to celebrate in Miami with family amid his mother's battle with multiple sclerosis. The Heisman winner, who led the Hoosiers to a perfect 16-0 season and national title, now faces immense pressure to revive a franchise with a history of draft woes.

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One week after signing with the Las Vegas Raiders, veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins voiced confidence in competing for the starting role despite the team's plans to select Indiana's Fernando Mendoza No. 1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. On his first official day, Cousins praised Mendoza after a draft visit and film session together, while new coach Klint Kubiak reiterated his preference for rookies to learn behind veterans.

NFL draft analyst Lance Zierlein forecasted that the 2026 NFL draft could see fewer than four quarterbacks selected in the top 100 picks, echoing the 2013 draft. He shared this view in a tweet on April 4. The prediction comes amid speculation about the Pittsburgh Steelers' quarterback needs.

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NFL teams selected a series of defensive players and skill position talents during the second round of the 2026 Draft on Friday evening. The Minnesota Vikings traded linebacker Jonathan Greenard to the Philadelphia Eagles in exchange for the No. 98 pick this year and a third-rounder next year. Greenard agreed to a four-year, $100 million extension with $50 million guaranteed, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter.

Baseball America has published its first mock draft for the 2026 MLB Draft, projecting the top 40 picks with input from an anonymous scout. UCLA shortstop Roch Cholowsky is projected as the No. 1 overall pick to the Washington Nationals, highlighting his strong early-season performance. The mock emphasizes player tiers and early scouting evaluations after four weeks of college baseball.

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