Gasoline prices to rise in 2026 due to IEPS adjustment

Starting January 1, 2026, gasoline and diesel prices in Mexico will increase due to the annual update of the Special Tax on Production and Services (IEPS), as announced by the Secretariat of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP). This adjustment is based on the National Consumer Price Index (INPC) for November 2025, which stood at 142.645 points.

The SHCP published the new IEPS rates for automotive fuels in the Official Gazette of the Federation (DOF), effective from the first day of 2026. These rates are adjusted annually under the IEPS Law, taking into account inflation as measured by the INPC.

The updated rates are: 6.7001 pesos per liter for Magna gasoline (under 91 octanes), 5.6579 pesos per liter for Premium (91 octanes or higher), and 7.3634 pesos per liter for diesel. This increase will directly add to the final price at service stations, impacting drivers and transporters amid early-year economic pressures.

Beyond fuels, the IEPS Law reform will affect other daily consumer goods. For instance, the tax on sugary drinks will rise from 1.6451 to 3.0818 pesos per liter, a roughly 90% hike, potentially pushing the price of a two-liter soda to around 42 pesos. Tobacco's IEPS will go from 160% to 200%, possibly taking packs like Marlboro over 100 pesos. Video games with violence will face an additional 8% on their price, raising a title like Call of Duty from 1,700 to 1,836 pesos. Oral serums not meeting WHO standards will incur 3.08 pesos per liter, and digital betting platforms will see their tax rate jump from 30% to 50%.

These changes aim to boost fiscal revenue but pose challenges for Mexican consumers' budgets in 2026.

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Illustration of a Mexican gas station with high fuel prices over 30 pesos per liter, peso at 18 to the dollar, and news of limited US-Iran conflict impact.
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Treasury predicts limited impact on gasoline from US-Iran conflict

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Hacienda Secretary Édgar Amador estimated that the effects of the US-Iran conflict on fuel prices in Mexico will be short-lived, due to existing fiscal mechanisms. Meanwhile, premium gasoline and diesel exceed 30 pesos per liter in some stations, and the Mexican peso depreciates toward 18 units per dollar.

The Secretariat of Finance and Public Credit published an adjustment to the Special Tax on Production and Services (IEPS) for fuels starting January 1, 2026, but both Finance and Energy clarified it won't result in increases for consumers. This change accounts for inflation and upholds the National Strategy to Stabilize Gasoline Prices, aiming to keep Magna below 24 pesos per liter.

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Finance Minister Jorge Quiroz announced increases of $370 per liter in 93-octane gasoline and $580 in diesel, effective from Thursday, March 26, due to the international oil price surge from the Iran conflict. The government also activated palliative measures, including freezing Transantiago fares until year-end and subsidies for taxi drivers. Quiroz justified the moves as necessary to align local prices with international levels and safeguard public finances.

José Antonio Kast's government issued decrees tweaking the Mepco, allowing historic gasoline and diesel price hikes starting March 26. The move addresses surging oil prices from the Iran war and fiscal tightness, with relief for paraffin and transporters. Congress approved the bill after negotiations exempting SMEs from higher taxes.

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Fuel prices in Brazil rose for the second consecutive week, according to ANP data released on March 13, 2026. Diesel saw an 11.8% increase, while gasoline rose 2.5%, reflecting the impacts of the war in Iran on international oil prices.

Mexico's tax collection reached 1.0218 trillion pesos in the first two months of 2026, up 2.6% in real terms from 2025 and above target. However, physical investment plunged 44.9%, the largest drop in 36 years. The Secretariat of Finance reported these figures in its recent update.

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From April 1, 2026, gasoline prices in Colombia rose by $375 per gallon, lifting the national average to $15,449. In Cali, prices are around $15,900, with diesel up $81 per gallon. The increase reverses prior cuts timed with legislative elections, prompting political debate.

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