Hermès Q1 sales rise despite Middle East conflict impact

Hermès reported a 6% revenue increase in the first quarter of 2026, driven entirely by higher prices amid flat volume growth. The Middle East conflict led to a 6% sales drop in that region and a double-digit decline in its US-traded shares. Analysts view the sell-off as overdone, presenting a buying opportunity for long-term investors.

Hermès experienced a sharp slowdown in Q1 2026 sales growth due to the ongoing Iran war in the Middle East. While overall revenue grew 6% year-over-year, the increase stemmed solely from price hikes, with volume growth remaining flat. Sales in the Middle East fell 6%, contributing to broader market concerns for luxury stocks, which had anticipated a recovery in 2026 after a demand pullback since early 2024. Profitability, however, stayed intact despite these pressures. The company's shares, traded over-the-counter as HESAY, dropped double-digits following the results, compressing the price-to-earnings ratio from 51–52x to 38.3x, according to a Seeking Alpha analysis published Sunday. This reaction is described as overblown by some observers, given Hermès' historical resilience and premium business model. The analyst, who holds a long position in HESAY, highlights robust long-term return potential of 10–12%, calling it a golden entry point for patient investors.

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LVMH announced first-quarter sales rose 1% organically to €19.12 billion. Fashion and leather goods sales fell 2% to €9.25 billion, better than the prior quarter but below expectations. The Middle East conflict impacted growth by about 1 percentage point.

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Analysts forecast accelerated growth for the global luxury sector in 2026, with China’s consumer spending rebound as a key driver despite challenges from a volatile property market and oil shocks from the war in Iran. HSBC, Deutsche Bank and BNP Paribas predict global sales growth of 5.5 to 6 per cent.

Chanel posted revenues of $19.3 billion in 2025, marking a 1.8 percent rise on a constant currency basis. Operating profit climbed 5.2 percent to $4.7 billion as the French luxury house recovered from a sales drop in 2024.

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Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayii Anonim Sirketi held its first-quarter 2026 earnings call on May 6. The company posted a 5% rise in consolidated volumes to 26 million hectoliters. Revenue increased 8% amid ongoing challenges.

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