Indian IT valuations fall near subprime crisis levels

Indian IT exporters have seen their stock valuations drop to levels last seen during the 2008-09 subprime crisis. The companies now trade at price-to-earnings multiples of 15 to 18 after losing nearly 30 percent in 2026. AI advancements and new competition are cited as key drivers of the decline.

Indian IT exporters including Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Technologies and Wipro have experienced sharp declines in market value. Their valuations now sit close to those recorded in the 2008-09 financial crisis period, with shares trading at 15-18 P/E multiples.

Makala yanayohusiana

The Nifty IT index fell more than 6% to a three-year low on concerns triggered by Accenture's lowered revenue forecast. Infosys shares dropped 9% to a near six-year low, erasing nearly Rs 40,000 crore in market value. Other IT stocks including TCS and HCLTech also declined sharply.

Imeripotiwa na AI

BNP Paribas analyst Kumar Rakesh has cautioned investors against viewing largecap Indian IT stocks as a straightforward value play. He points to weak FY27 guidance, AI-led disruptions, and stalled client spending as major challenges. Buybacks and dividends offer some support, but earnings risks remain high.

JPMorgan has downgraded Indian equities to neutral from overweight. The bank warned that the Nifty index could fall to 20,500 in a bear-case scenario, implying a 15% downside from current levels. Near-term risks include elevated valuations and uncertainties from the Iran war and energy disruptions.

Imeripotiwa na AI

Global fund managers are reconsidering exits from Indian stocks as falling oil prices and rupee stabilization reduce key concerns. Daily foreign selling has slowed while inflows into India-focused ETFs have turned positive. Analysts note that attractive valuations could support a market rerating if earnings growth holds.

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