Oil posts weekly gains near $95 despite Friday volatility, Hormuz risks linger

Oil prices closed mixed on Friday after early gains but surged for the week amid persistent Strait of Hormuz supply disruptions. Following mid-week stall in US-Iran talks that pushed prices above $100, traders monitor potential progress while fearing escalation. WTI crude settled around $95 per barrel.

Oil markets ended the week on a volatile note, closing mixed Friday per The Economic Times, but delivered sharp overall gains fueled by geopolitical tensions and supply constraints. After topping $100 mid-week as US-Iran ceasefire talks stalled—with Iran seizing ships and US enforcing a naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz—prices hovered above $95 late Friday for WTI crude.

Disruptions in this critical chokepoint continue to stoke fears of tighter global supply, as Seeking Alpha analysts note. Potential peace talks offer hope for de-escalation, though the Washington-Tehran standoff persists, evoking Trump-era dynamics. Brent crude volatility underscores the risks, with markets cautious over weekend developments that could further impact flows.

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Dramatic scene of US naval blockade and Iranian ship seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, with oil prices topping $100 amid stalled ceasefire talks.
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Oil prices top $100 as US-Iran ceasefire talks stall

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Crude oil prices have surpassed $100 per barrel amid stalled peace talks between the United States and Iran. Trade through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, with Iran seizing two ships and the US maintaining a naval blockade. Analysts warn of further price increases due to ongoing disruptions.

In the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis, crude oil prices fell below $100 a barrel following announcements that US-Iran talks will resume on Thursday—easing some geopolitical risk after last week's US naval blockade. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude spiked to $105 at the Globex open before correcting to around $98, amid persistent supply disruptions.

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Crude oil prices have climbed above $110 per barrel—up 20% in days and over 50% since the war began—as the US-Israel conflict with Iran persists into its second week, fueling fears of prolonged supply disruptions in the Persian Gulf. Asian markets tumbled, while US President Donald Trump called the spike a 'necessary sacrifice' for security.

Oil prices have rallied sharply following US and Israeli strikes on Iran, escalating Middle East tensions. Brent and WTI crude futures reached multi-month highs as supply risks through the Strait of Hormuz loom large. Analysts foresee further increases, potentially reaching $80 a barrel by 2026, up 20%.

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Brent crude briefly rose above $100 a barrel early Thursday after two oil tankers were reported struck by projectiles near Iraq, adding to supply fears tied to the Iran war and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. officials said President Donald Trump authorized a 172 million-barrel release from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve beginning next week.

With Brent crude already past $100 due to prior Iranian attacks and Strait of Hormuz issues, escalating US-Iran tensions now raise worst-case fears of $200 per barrel oil prices. India's stock markets have plunged, hitting oil firms hardest, amid risks of wider deficits, rupee weakness, and inflation.

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As the US-Israel-Iran conflict escalates following February 28 strikes and weekend retaliation—including the reported death of Ayatollah Khamenei—the Strait of Hormuz has closed, pushing oil prices to new highs and intensifying market volatility. Updated casualties exceed 740, while analysts predict inflation spikes and delayed rate cuts. Mexico sees sharp peso depreciation and stock plunges.

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