Philippine debt service consumes nearly half of government revenues

The Philippines' national government debt rose from ₱12.79 trillion in 2022 to ₱16.75 trillion in 2025, growing faster than the economy. In 2024 and 2025, nearly 48 to 51 percent of government revenues are used for debt service, limiting funds for education, health, and disaster preparedness.

From 2022 to 2025, the national government debt grew by over 9 percent annually, outpacing the economy's 5 to 6 percent yearly expansion. This has increased the debt burden relative to the country's repayment capacity.

In 2023, total debt service reached ₱1.6 trillion, including ₱610 billion in interest and ₱940 billion in principal. It rose to ₱2.0 trillion in 2024, with ₱670 billion in interest, and stayed at that level in 2025 with annual interest nearing ₱700 billion. As a result, interest payments now take one out of every six pesos of government revenue.

More than 80 percent of the debt is long-term, posing low rollover risk. However, the extended terms create rigidity in future budgets. Projections indicate debt service will remain above 40 percent of revenues until at least 2028.

This situation stems from years of heavy borrowing and weak revenue efforts. Additionally, controversies over budget plunder and misallocation in the past three years exacerbate the issue, leading to higher debt without benefits to growth or services. The integrity of the budget process is crucial for future debt sustainability, alongside revenue reforms and disciplined spending.

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The Ministry of Finance published the Financial Plan for 2026, projecting 2.6% GDP growth and 5.8% inflation. The document estimates an average dollar rate of $3,801 and Brent barrel at US$59.2, though analysts warn of calculation errors and lack of concrete measures for fiscal cuts. The publication was delayed by more than a month compared to previous years.

Mdhibiti wa Bajeti Margaret Nyakang’o ameonya serikali dhidi ya kukopa kupita kiasi kwa miradi ya maendeleo isiyo na faida za moja kwa moja za kiuchumi au kijamii. Katika robo ya kwanza ya mwaka wa kifedha 2025/26, Sh507.98 bilioni zilitumika kulipa madeni, ikiongezeka kutoka Sh325.52 bilioni mwaka uliopita. Ripoti yake inaonyesha deni la umma liliongezeka hadi Sh12.04 trilioni.

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South Korea's public sector debt surpassed 1,700 trillion won for the first time at the end of 2024. The Ministry of Economy and Finance reported it reached 1,738.6 trillion won, equivalent to 68 percent of GDP. The rise stems from increased central government bonds and expanded policy projects in non-financial public firms.

The Ministry of Finance reported that Education, Health, and Science, Technology and Innovation sectors closed 2025 with the highest budget execution rates, reaching 97.3%, 96.1%, and 95.4% respectively. In contrast, Presidency, Transport, and Agriculture had the lowest, at 40.9%, 43.5%, and 59.5%. The overall average without debt was 86.5%.

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A Comptroller and Auditor General report tabled in the Telangana assembly highlighted the state's strained finances in 2024-25, including budget underutilisation, poor revenue collection and rising debt. The government spent only 80% of its projected revenue and capital expenditure budget.

Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana presented the 2026 National Budget on 25 February 2026, announcing debt stabilisation at 78.9% of GDP and the withdrawal of proposed tax increases. The budget allocates R292.8 billion for social grants with increases for recipients and commits R1.07 trillion to infrastructure over the medium term. Reforms aim to enhance economic growth and public service efficiency amid a projected 1.6% growth for 2026.

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