Government issues debt quota of $152 trillion for budget financing

The Colombian government set a debt quota of $152.25 trillion to finance part of the 2026 General National Budget, according to a Ministry of Finance decree. This amount, lower than in 2025, accounts for four points of GDP and is split between treasury bonds and temporary operations.

The Colombian government published a decree setting the 2026 debt ceiling at $152.25 trillion to cover budgetary obligations. Of this total, $85.25 trillion is allocated to class B treasury bonds (TES), while $67 trillion corresponds to temporary treasury operations (TCO). This quota is lower than the one issued at the start of 2025 and equals four points of GDP, compared to five points the previous year, according to economist Alejandro Rojas from Banco de Bogotá.

Rojas noted that, although moderated, the TES quota remains at historic highs and the TCO is the second highest in the country, only surpassed by those during the covid-19 pandemic. "Se modera el de TES pero sigue en máximos, el de los TCO es el segundo cupo más alto de la historia del país, pues sigue siendo un cupo atípico pese a su moderación en la participación del PIB", he stated. The decree includes thematic bonds such as green, social, sustainable, and blue ones, incorporated into the budget.

TES bond issuance begins the year with rates above 11%, influenced by fiscal risks and the economic situation. The quota could be revised upward during 2026, depending on revenue shortfalls, as happened in 2025. The Autonomous Fiscal Rule Committee (Carf) estimates additional financing needs between $46 and $48 trillion, considering a $30 trillion deficit and spending excesses of $16 to $18 trillion.

Regarding TCOs, Rojas warned that their use goes beyond temporary operations, allowing swaps for long-term debt, which creates fiscal pressures. This impacts public finance health, driven by high spending and insufficient tax collection, potentially leading to more external debt issuances.

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President Gustavo Petro and Finance Minister Germán Ávila announcing Colombia's $16 trillion tax reform at a press conference.
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Finance ministry confirms $16 trillion tax reform after court ruling

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After the Constitutional Court struck down the December 2025 emergency economic decree, the Colombian government will present a tax reform to raise $16 trillion. Finance Minister Germán Ávila and President Gustavo Petro confirmed the plan in response to the fiscal imbalance. The measure aims to avoid cuts to social spending and address inherited deficits.

An ANIF report states that the gross debt of Colombia's National Central Government ended 2025 at $1.194 trillion, or 64.4% of GDP, the highest since the 2020 pandemic. Treasury liquidity hit historic lows, with cash on hand covering just five days of obligations in February 2026.

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Colombia's Ministry of Finance placed 900 billion pesos in short-term Treasury titles (TCO) through a public auction, with a cutoff rate of 13.65% for the one-year reference maturing on March 23, 2027. It received bids totaling 1.3 trillion pesos, 1.5 times the amount offered.

The Banco de la República reported that Colombia's external debt rose to US$253.168 million in January 2026, equivalent to 55.2% of GDP. This marks an increase from December 2025 and January last year. Public sector debt stood at US$157.833 million, while private sector debt was US$95.336 million.

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Chile's Dirección de Presupuestos (Dipres) reported that the Government's gross debt hit US$158.215 billion by the end of Q1 2026, or 42.6% of GDP. Fiscal cash reserves fell to US$597 million, as fiscal revenues rose 0.9% in real annual terms and public spending 0.7%. The report notes heterogeneous performance driven by mining.

Colombia's Contraloría General de la República reported that Decree 0150 of 2026, declaring an economic emergency in February due to the climate crisis, lacks solid calculation bases for requesting between $8.26 and $8.68 trillion pesos. The oversight body identified discrepancies in damage estimates, such as flooded areas, and the absence of a national articulated plan. This review responds to a request from the Constitutional Court.

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Colombia ended 2025 with a current account deficit of 2.4% of GDP, according to Credicorp Capital's analysis of Banco de la República data. This rise from 1.7% in 2024 stems mainly from a wider trade imbalance. While foreign direct investment covered the deficit, forecasts for 2026 point to increased vulnerability.

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