One-year TES rates reach historic high of 13.693%

One-year Treasury bills (TES) rates hit a new record in auction number 13 by the Public Credit Directorate, reaching 13.693%. This surpasses the previous high and marks a 2.2 percentage point increase so far this year. The upward trend raises concerns over the Colombian Government's borrowing costs.

In the latest auction, the cutoff rate for short-term TES, known as TCO, reached 13.693%, the highest ever for one-year bonds. This marks a significant rise in costs for the Government, with a real rate near 8.4% after subtracting 5.29% inflation.

Rates have climbed from 11.490% in the year's first auction to 13.050% by late February, surpassing that in March. Meanwhile, a yield curve inversion appears, with 10-year TES at 12.872%, indicating higher short-term risk perception.

Diego Montañez-Herrera, economic analyst at Universidad Eafit, stated: "The Government of Colombia is facing an accelerated rise in its debt costs. It now pays 13.69% on one-year debt, the highest recorded for that maturity. The issue is not just the rate, but the term. More expensive short-term debt implies greater pressure to refinance soon."

Pressures from increased public spending and the Central Bank's policy rate hike to 11.25% are driving this trend, raising the baseline cost of money in the economy.

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Traders in a Brazilian financial market monitoring screens with rising Selic rate graphs and hike predictions.
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Market raises bets on Selic hike in August

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Future interest rates rose on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, increasing the chances of a Selic hike in August. The benchmark rate stands at 14.5% per year. The market attributes the shift to inflation expectations and external news.

Yields on one-year TES bonds have climbed to historic levels in auctions held by Colombia's Finance Ministry so far in 2026.

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In its latest auction, Colombia's Ministry of Hacienda placed 900 billion pesos in short-term Treasury titles (TCO) maturing April 20, 2027, at a cutoff rate of 13.450%—slightly lower than the prior auction's 13.65%. Bids totaled 1.6 trillion pesos, or 1.7 times the amount offered, signaling robust demand amid efforts to develop the domestic capital market.

The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates multiple times since late 2024, yet long-term borrowing costs have remained elevated as bond markets no longer follow the central bank's lead.

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