One-year TES rates reach historic high of 13.693%

One-year Treasury bills (TES) rates hit a new record in auction number 13 by the Public Credit Directorate, reaching 13.693%. This surpasses the previous high and marks a 2.2 percentage point increase so far this year. The upward trend raises concerns over the Colombian Government's borrowing costs.

In the latest auction, the cutoff rate for short-term TES, known as TCO, reached 13.693%, the highest ever for one-year bonds. This marks a significant rise in costs for the Government, with a real rate near 8.4% after subtracting 5.29% inflation.

Rates have climbed from 11.490% in the year's first auction to 13.050% by late February, surpassing that in March. Meanwhile, a yield curve inversion appears, with 10-year TES at 12.872%, indicating higher short-term risk perception.

Diego Montañez-Herrera, economic analyst at Universidad Eafit, stated: "The Government of Colombia is facing an accelerated rise in its debt costs. It now pays 13.69% on one-year debt, the highest recorded for that maturity. The issue is not just the rate, but the term. More expensive short-term debt implies greater pressure to refinance soon."

Pressures from increased public spending and the Central Bank's policy rate hike to 11.25% are driving this trend, raising the baseline cost of money in the economy.

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Following its January hike to 10.25%, Colombia's Banco de la República raised its intervention rate by another 100 basis points to 11.25% in a tight 4-3 vote during its second meeting of the year. Finance Minister Germán Ávila walked out of the board meeting and announced the government's withdrawal from the central bank over disagreements. President Gustavo Petro backed the move and criticized the monetary policy.

Colombia's Public Credit Directorate awarded one-year TES bonds at a cut-off rate of 13.494% in the March 24 auction, setting a new historical high. With 5.29% inflation, this yields a real rate near 8.2%. The outcome signals heightened fiscal risk perception among investors.

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Yields on one-year TES bonds have climbed to historic levels in auctions held by Colombia's Finance Ministry so far in 2026.

Technical manager Hernando Vargas presented the Banco de la República's Monetary Policy Report, highlighting the interest rate hike and lower-than-expected GDP growth.

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Colombia's Superintendencia Financiera reported that the usury rate for March stands at 25.52% effective annual rate, up 0.29 percentage points from February's 25.23%. This increase mirrors market interest rate adjustments. Institutions like Coltefinanciera and Banco Unión have rates closest to the cap.

The Autonomous Fiscal Rule Committee reported that central government total and primary spending through April 2026 reached 7.5% and 6% of GDP respectively.

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