One-year TES rates reach historic high of 13.693%

One-year Treasury bills (TES) rates hit a new record in auction number 13 by the Public Credit Directorate, reaching 13.693%. This surpasses the previous high and marks a 2.2 percentage point increase so far this year. The upward trend raises concerns over the Colombian Government's borrowing costs.

In the latest auction, the cutoff rate for short-term TES, known as TCO, reached 13.693%, the highest ever for one-year bonds. This marks a significant rise in costs for the Government, with a real rate near 8.4% after subtracting 5.29% inflation.

Rates have climbed from 11.490% in the year's first auction to 13.050% by late February, surpassing that in March. Meanwhile, a yield curve inversion appears, with 10-year TES at 12.872%, indicating higher short-term risk perception.

Diego Montañez-Herrera, economic analyst at Universidad Eafit, stated: "The Government of Colombia is facing an accelerated rise in its debt costs. It now pays 13.69% on one-year debt, the highest recorded for that maturity. The issue is not just the rate, but the term. More expensive short-term debt implies greater pressure to refinance soon."

Pressures from increased public spending and the Central Bank's policy rate hike to 11.25% are driving this trend, raising the baseline cost of money in the economy.

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News illustration of Colombia's Ministry of Finance TES bond auction worth 450 billion pesos, featuring officials, bidding screens, and national symbols.
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Ministry of Finance auctions TES worth 450 billion pesos

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The Ministry of Finance held an auction of Treasury Titles (TES) worth 450 billion pesos, denominated in Real Value Units (UVR), maturing in 2031, 2041, 2055, and 2062. The Comptroller General backed the operation, confirming its legality and that it does not create new debt, while President Gustavo Petro defended the move to manage government liquidity.

Colombia's Public Credit Directorate awarded one-year TES bonds at a cut-off rate of 13.494% in the March 24 auction, setting a new historical high. With 5.29% inflation, this yields a real rate near 8.2%. The outcome signals heightened fiscal risk perception among investors.

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Colombia's Ministry of Finance placed 900 billion pesos in short-term Treasury titles (TCO) through a public auction, with a cutoff rate of 13.65% for the one-year reference maturing on March 23, 2027. It received bids totaling 1.3 trillion pesos, 1.5 times the amount offered.

일본 10년물 국채 수익률은 화요일 동기간 국채 경매에서 적당히 강한 결과를 보인 후 방향을 바꿔 소폭 상승했다. 수익률은 0.5bp 상승해 2.12%를 기록했다. 시장은 일본은행이 인플레이션 리스크 대응에 뒤처지고 있으며 추가 금리 인상을 예상하고 있다.

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Colombia's central bank may hike its policy rate by 50 basis points to 9.75% at its January 30 meeting, according to analysts surveyed by Anif and Corficolombiana. The move would address 2025 inflation of 5.15% and a 23% minimum wage increase that has boosted inflation expectations. The global context, with steady Fed rates and Brazil's policy, shapes the local outlook.

The Board of Directors of the Banco de la República voted by majority to keep the policy interest rate at 9.25% in its final meeting of the year, amid ongoing inflationary pressures above 5%. Two members, including Finance Minister Germán Ávila, favored a 50 basis point cut. Inflation eased slightly to 5.3% in November, but future expectations rose.

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The Argentine government paid US$4200 million to bondholders, leaving just over US$100 million in its account, according to private surveys. In parallel, it conducted a debt auction that covered 98% of its maturities, though with interest rates reaching 49%. This operation marks the first local placement of the year.

 

 

 

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