Talk of digital yuan challenging dollar misses real power shift

China is building parallel financial capabilities rather than directly challenging the dollar's status as the global reserve currency. The e-CNY has become one of the world's most advanced central bank digital currency experiments, processing over 3.4 billion transactions worth about US$2.3 trillion by the end of 2025.

Over the past few years, the e-CNY has evolved into one of the world’s most advanced central bank digital currency (CBDC) experiments—and its largest live CBDC project. It had processed more than 3.4 billion transactions worth about US$2.3 trillion by the end of 2025, an increase of over 800 per cent since 2023, according to the Washington-based Atlantic Council.

This rapid expansion highlights the digital yuan’s growing, scalable use across provinces and the widening range of payment scenarios.

All these developments point to a strategic focus that is often misunderstood. China is not attempting a frontal assault on the dollar’s role as the world’s primary reserve currency. Instead, it is working to modernise and partially reconfigure the “plumbing” of the global financial system. Initiatives like Project mBridge support international payments linked to Hong Kong and the Belt and Road Initiative.

The piece argues that China is merely building parallel capabilities. Whether the systems remain complementary or become competitive depends on how others respond, reflecting efforts to enhance digital currency influence in emerging markets without upending the existing order.

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Dramatic illustration of Chinese Telegram-based crypto laundering networks handling $16.1 billion in illicit funds, per Chainalysis report.
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Chinese-language networks laundered $16.1 billion in crypto in 2025

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A new report from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis reveals that Chinese-language money laundering networks processed $16.1 billion in illicit cryptocurrency funds last year, accounting for about 20% of all known crypto laundering activity. These Telegram-based operations have grown dramatically since 2020, outpacing other laundering channels by thousands of times. The findings highlight the networks' role in facilitating global crime while evading enforcement efforts.

On January 1, 2026, the People's Bank of China started paying interest on digital yuan balances in user wallets, making it the world's first central bank digital currency to offer returns to ordinary holders. This upgrade shifts the digital yuan from a simple payment tool to a more attractive option for holding money. Adoption is expected to grow following this change.

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The People's Bank of China has pledged to integrate the digital yuan into the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor and establish a cross-border payment pilot with Singapore to promote the internationalisation of China's currency.

China's central bank has cut interest rates on targeted monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points and expanded related quotas to spur lending in key areas and improve market expectations. Vice Governor Zou Lan said the move underscores policymakers' resolve to support a solid economic start to the 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026-30).

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The US-China race for hi-tech resources intensifies across the Global South, pressuring swing nations in the middle to strike a balance. The Venezuela crisis has laid bare the limits of China's economic-centric diplomacy in competing with the US, serving as a stark reminder that spheres of influence continue to shape global politics in this new era of great power rivalry.

Western small and medium-sized enterprises are increasingly adopting cryptocurrency and blockchain to build resilient supply chains and reduce dependence on China. These technologies offer transparency, cost savings, and flexibility amid rising geopolitical tensions. A recent analysis highlights how such solutions can level the playing field in global trade.

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South Korea and China signed an agreement on November 1 to renew their 70 trillion won currency swap deal for another five years during a summit in Gyeongju. The deal, between the central banks of both nations, follows the expiration of the previous agreement last month. They also inked six other memorandums of understanding to boost cooperation in trade, startups, and crime prevention.

 

 

 

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