在菲律宾获得中高收入国家地位仅几天后，政府将其2026年的经济增长预期下调至3.5%至4.5%。经济管理部门指出，国内外的多种不确定因素，包括治理问题和地缘政治紧张局势，是导致此次下调的原因。
发展预算协调委员会于7月8日修订了其中期假设。目前预计2026年的增长率为3.5%至4.5%，随后在2027年及以后回升至5%至6%。这较2025年12月设定的2026年5%至6%的增长目标进一步下调。
预计今年通货膨胀率平均在6%至7%之间，随后在后期有所缓解。委员会指出了来自油价、天气冲击、侨汇增长放缓以及游客入境人数减少等方面的风险。此外，委员会还预警了可能影响农业的厄尔尼诺现象。
政府计划为2027年编制7.2万亿比索的国家预算。官员们旨在通过税收改革和财政纪律逐步缩小赤字，同时维持大规模的支出。
由 AI 报道 AI 生成的图像
Provisional GDP estimates released on Friday show 7.7 per cent growth for 2025-26. The figure exceeds the government's February prediction by 0.1 percentage points. Outlook for 2026-27 points to a slowdown.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global growth of 3.1% for 2026, a 0.2 percentage point downward revision from prior estimates, due to the Middle East conflict. Global inflation would rise to 4.4% from higher energy costs. In adverse scenarios, growth could drop to near 2% with inflation near 6%.
由 AI 报道
The June Monetary Policy Report cut the GDP expansion range for 2026 but improved estimates for the following two years. Officials noted that the adjustments come before the megareform and the US-Iran agreement.
The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.
由 AI 报道
Indonesia's economy grew 5.61 percent in Q1 2026, the highest in five years and among G20 nations releasing data, according to BPS. Kadin, officials, and the Finance Minister praised the achievement amid global challenges. Growth was driven by household consumption, government spending, and investment.