UN launches joint anticipatory appeal for El Niño

The United Nations World Food Programme and Food and Agriculture Organisation have launched a $202-million appeal to prepare for a potentially severe El Niño event.

The agencies issued the first Joint Anticipatory Action Appeal on 22 June 2026. It seeks funds to assist nearly nine million people across 22 countries ahead of expected impacts.

This marks a shift toward financing preventive measures rather than responding after crises occur. The appeal targets risks including drought in southern Africa and heavy rains in East Africa.

Japanese forecasters identified the El Niño onset two weeks earlier. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration later confirmed the development and raised the chance of a very strong event to 63 percent.

WFP Acting Executive Director Carl Skau stated that early action can keep food on the table and reduce costs for those most at risk.

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Drought-stricken Andes landscape with forest fires and NOAA El Niño forecast map overlay, illustrating 90% probability warning.
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NOAA raises El Niño probability to 90% for September 2026

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The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated its forecasts, estimating a 90% probability of El Niño starting in September 2026 and lasting through the year's final quarter. It raised the May-July projection from 25% in March to 61%. Experts warn of impacts in regions like the Caribbean, Andes, and Orinoquía, including forest fire risks from water deficits and thermal stress.

The oceanic phenomenon known as El Niño has officially begun, according to U.S. weather forecasters. Meteorologists warn it could become the strongest of the century and drive extreme weather that disrupts agriculture worldwide.

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The Ministry of Housing urged local authorities and service operators to prepare emergency measures ahead of the likely arrival of the El Niño phenomenon in the second half of the year.

NASA and European partners have tracked a large pulse of warm water moving across the Pacific Ocean toward South America. The observation, captured by the Sentinel-6 Michael Freilich satellite, raises the possibility that El Niño conditions could develop later this year.

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International weather centers warn of a possible super El Niño between 2026 and 2027. Ideam reports a 61 percent chance the phenomenon will set in between late May and June.

The National Federation of Coffee Growers (Fedecafé) and the national government will allocate $50 billion to the Coffee Price Stabilization Fund to support fertilization ahead of the El Niño phenomenon in the second half of 2026. Fedecafé will contribute $40 billion and the government $10 billion. The measure will benefit producers in 421 municipalities.

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Santa Marta became the first Colombian capital to declare a public calamity due to the El Niño phenomenon to address the climate emergency.

 

 

 

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