Elon Musk predicts Optimus robots will outperform surgeons in three years

Elon Musk claimed on a recent podcast that Tesla's Optimus humanoid robots will surpass the skills of top human surgeons within three years. He described pursuing medical school as pointless in light of advancing AI capabilities. The prediction highlights Tesla's pivot toward robotics amid challenges in its electric vehicle sales.

Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, SpaceX, and X, made headlines during an appearance on the 'Moonshots' podcast by forecasting a rapid transformation in healthcare through artificial intelligence. Musk stated that Tesla's Optimus humanoid robots, designed for tasks requiring dexterity and intelligence, would exceed the precision of the best human surgeons on Earth within three years. He elaborated that these robots would achieve even greater dominance in the healthcare industry over the next four to five years, potentially reducing malpractice errors and scaling procedures to meet global demands, including for underserved patients.

'Don’t go into medical school… Pointless,' Musk bluntly advised when asked about the value of medical education today. He envisions Optimus performing surgeries with superhuman accuracy, positioning the technology as a game-changer for accessibility and efficiency in medicine.

This bold assertion aligns with Tesla's broader strategic shift toward AI and robotics, as the company grapples with a 6.7 percent global sales decline in 2025—the second consecutive year of reduced deliveries. Tesla produced 1.65 million vehicles that year but operated at only 70 percent capacity, leaving 700,000 units unused. Factories in Berlin and Austin ran below potential, with Europe's sales dropping 28 percent amid cooled U.S. demand and fierce Chinese competition.

To address underutilized plants, Musk announced late 2025 plans to produce Optimus robots at Tesla's Fremont facility, targeting one million units annually, with a second line in Austin aiming for 10 million. Priced at $20,000, Optimus is marketed for household and commercial use, though analysts question its real-world viability without proven scalability.

Experts caution that regulatory approvals, ethical issues, and extensive clinical trials could delay Musk's timeline. Nonetheless, AI is already advancing healthcare, with tools like Aidoc aiding in diagnostic imaging and companies such as Recursion Pharmaceuticals accelerating drug discovery. Musk's vision underscores Tesla's ambition to redefine its identity beyond electric vehicles, leveraging innovation to navigate market stagnation.

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Elon Musk has stated that Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot could perform medical procedures with superhuman precision, potentially democratizing elite healthcare worldwide. During a recent shareholder meeting and conversation with investor Ron Baron, Musk argued that the robot addresses key limitations in global healthcare systems caused by a shortage of skilled specialists. He also suggested Optimus could eliminate poverty by tackling labor shortages and inequality.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has forecasted that humanoid robots will surpass human surgeons within three years, rendering medical school obsolete. Speaking on a podcast, Musk highlighted the rapid advancements in AI and Tesla's Optimus robot as key drivers of this transformation. He envisions a future where robotic surgery becomes ubiquitous and superior to current medical practices.

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Elon Musk has forecasted that AI-powered robots will outperform human surgeons within three years, rendering medical school pointless. He made these claims during a recent podcast, alongside broader predictions on AI's impact on humanity. Experts caution that human judgment remains essential in healthcare despite robotic advancements.

Following its Q4 2025 earnings call announcement to end Model S and X production by Q2 2026, Tesla debuted its third-generation Optimus humanoid robot on February 2, 2026, via Weibo, confirming plans to repurpose Fremont factory lines for up to one million units annually amid EV sales declines. CEO Elon Musk highlighted Optimus's transformative potential in robotics.

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Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot demonstrated a new milestone by jogging across a lab floor in a video shared on December 2, 2025. The footage highlights improved mobility with natural form, as progress accelerates toward mass production. CEO Elon Musk envisions the robot transforming labor by handling monotonous tasks and potentially making work optional within 20 years.

Entrepreneur Jason Calacanis predicts that Tesla's car-making days will be overshadowed by its humanoid robot Optimus. In a recent podcast, he argued that the company's focus on AI and robotics will redefine its identity. Calacanis's views align with CEO Elon Musk's ambitious projections for Optimus.

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At Tesla's annual shareholder meeting, CEO Elon Musk suggested using the company's Optimus humanoid robots to monitor convicted criminals as a humane alternative to prisons. He claimed the robots could eliminate poverty and boost the global economy significantly. Shareholders also approved a record-breaking pay package for Musk potentially worth nearly $1 trillion.

 

 

 

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