Bank of Japan to begin ETF holdings sale from January

Bank of Japan officials are set to begin selling the central bank's exchange-traded funds as early as next month. The process, aimed at avoiding market disruptions, is expected to unfold gradually over decades. This follows a decision made at a September policy board meeting.

Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials are likely to initiate the sale of the central bank's substantial exchange-traded fund (ETF) holdings starting as early as January 2025. According to individuals familiar with the matter, the assets will be offloaded gradually to prevent any disruption to financial markets. At the end of September, these holdings had a market value of ¥83 trillion ($534 billion) and a book value of ¥37.1 trillion.

The plan was established during a September policy board meeting, setting a sales pace of ¥330 billion annually based on book value. A straightforward calculation suggests the entire process could span around 112 years if this rate remains consistent. The BOJ's ETF portfolio has built up over years of monetary easing policies, making it one of the largest in Japan.

While specifics on the exact timeline and methods remain undisclosed by sources, the emphasis is on a measured approach. This initiative represents a key move toward normalizing Japan's monetary policy, though market observers express concerns about potential impacts on stock prices.

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Illustration of Bank of Japan rate hike to 0.75% amid yen depreciation and market unease.
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Bank of Japan raises rates as yen weakens

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The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 0.75% from 0.5% on December 20, marking a 30-year high aimed at curbing inflation. However, the yen weakened sharply against the dollar and other major currencies. Markets reacted with sales due to the BOJ's vague outlook on future hikes.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at a possible interest rate hike in a speech on December 1, leading to rising bond yields and a stronger yen. This triggered a decline in the Nikkei stock average. Markets now see heightened odds of a hike at the central bank's December 19 policy meeting.

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Following its December 19-20 policy meeting, the Bank of Japan raised its rate to 0.75%, prompting yen fluctuations, sustained high inflation, bank rate adjustments, and measured government support amid U.S. tariff concerns and shunto wage prospects.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled the likelihood of further interest rate hikes next year, expressing growing confidence that the central bank is nearing its sustainable 2% price stability target. In a speech Thursday at a conference hosted by business lobby Keidanren, Ueda noted that the goal, accompanied by wage increases, is steadily approaching. His remarks underscore investor expectations that the bank will continue hikes even after raising borrowing costs to the highest level since 1995 last Friday.

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