Japanese inflation accelerates in March, pressuring Bank of Japan

Japan's headline consumer price index rose 1.5% year-on-year in March, up from 1.3% in February and above the 1.4% market consensus. Core inflation, excluding fresh food, climbed to 1.8%, marking the first acceleration in five months. The data persists despite government subsidies aimed at curbing prices.

Japan's inflation strengthened beyond expectations in March, even as the government implemented subsidies to moderate consumer prices. Headline CPI increased to 1.5% year-on-year, surpassing the anticipated 1.4% and rising from February's 1.3%. Core measures, stripping out fresh food, hit 1.8%, up from 1.6% the prior month and ahead of the 1.5% forecast. This marks the first uptick in core inflation in five months, as reported by Seeking Alpha citing official data. Price pressures appear to be broadening and intensifying, independent of policy interventions. The development complicates the Bank of Japan's monetary policy outlook. Analysts note that an interest rate hike in April remains possible if the central bank prioritizes anchoring inflation expectations.

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Illustration depicting rising fuel prices at a Seoul gas station amid South Korea's 2.6% consumer inflation surge from oil shock in Strait of Hormuz.
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South Korea's consumer prices accelerate to 2.6% in April amid oil shock

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South Korea's consumer prices rose 2.6 percent year-on-year in April, up from March's 2.2 percent and the fastest pace in 21 months, driven by soaring fuel costs from the ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruption. Government data confirmed the figures.

South Korea's consumer prices rose 2.2 percent in March from a year earlier, government data showed Thursday. The increase, exceeding the government's 2 percent inflation target, was mainly driven by a surge in global oil prices due to prolonged Middle East tensions. It marks the steepest rise since December's 2.3 percent, according to the Ministry of Data and Statistics.

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CORE Indonesia projects March 2026 annual inflation at 3.5-3.6 percent, down from February's 4.76 percent. The forecast reflects a low-base effect from electricity tariffs, though Lebaran and non-subsidized fuel prices may push monthly inflation higher. Official BPS data is due on April 1, 2026.

The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.

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Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation eased to 14.6% in May 2026 from 14.9% in April, the Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics said.

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