Fertilizer prices climb 22.57% since Middle East war onset amid Hormuz closure

Global fertilizer prices are up 22.57% since before the Middle East war began on February 28—building on an initial 7.5% rise through early March—according to Bloomberg's Green Markets index. The Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts 45% of world fertilizer trade. Colombia's farmers face escalating costs, prompting a government subsidy.

Bloomberg's Green Markets Fertilizer Price Index has risen 22.57% from US$753.26 per ton on February 27 to US$923.29 on March 23, following an initial 7.5% increase through March 6. Urea prices have surged 36.9% to US$630 per ton since pre-war levels, after a 24% jump to US$570 earlier.

The war's closure of the Strait of Hormuz affects 45% of global fertilizer trade, 22% of urea, and 45% of sulfur—critical inputs. Colombia, importing around two million tons yearly (a key factor in 12-30% of crop costs), relies heavily on these amid broader supply strains despite main urea sources in Trinidad and Tobago and the US.

Top suppliers include Yara (365,000 tons, 18.2% share), Precisagro (285,000 tons, 14.2%), and Monómeros with Ecofértil (248,000 tons, 12.4%), followed by Nitrofert, Nutrición de Plantas, and C.I. Acepalma.

President Gustavo Petro announced subsidies to mitigate impacts. Markets eased Monday after Donald Trump suspended attacks on Iran's power grid for five days, with Brent oil falling to US$96 per barrel.

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Dramatic photo illustration of blocked Strait of Hormuz oil tankers, Iran-launched missiles striking Israel, and surging oil prices amid war escalation.
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Iran-Israel war escalates with Strait of Hormuz closure

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The ongoing war between Iran and Israel has intensified, with missile exchanges and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupting global oil supplies. Oil prices have surged above $100 per barrel, fueling market declines and inflation fears worldwide. Governments are responding with measures to stabilize energy markets amid concerns over prolonged conflict.

The closure of the Strait of Ormuz amid the US-Iran conflict has driven a 7.5% rise in global fertilizer prices over the past week, with urea surging 24%. Colombia, reliant on imports for most of these inputs, faces potential effects on its agricultural sector. Experts warn this could increase production costs for crops.

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Crude oil prices have surpassed $100 per barrel amid stalled peace talks between the United States and Iran. Trade through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, with Iran seizing two ships and the US maintaining a naval blockade. Analysts warn of further price increases due to ongoing disruptions.

The ongoing conflict with Iran has halted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, driving up global oil and gas prices. This surge is providing short-term gains for producers outside the Persian Gulf region, such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron. Consumers in the US and Europe are facing higher bills as a result.

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President Donald Trump ordered US and Israeli attacks on Tehran in the early morning of February 28, 2026, prompting an Iranian missile response against Israel. This Middle East conflict endangers global oil supply via the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of the world's crude passes. In Mexico, which imports gasoline, it could lead to price hikes if the conflict persists.

Following initial US and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, weekend attacks reportedly killed Ayatollah Ali Jamenei, prompting Iran's Revolutionary Guard to threaten closing the Strait of Hormuz. Mexico's export mix hit $66.63 per barrel on March 2—the highest in seven months—as global markets reacted with risk aversion; Mexico activated a gasoline price contingency plan.

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The war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, started on February 28, 2026, has driven oil prices above 100 dollars per barrel, closing the Strait of Hormuz and creating volatility in global markets. In Mexico, this could mean additional oil revenues of 406 billion pesos if the average price holds at 90 dollars for the year. However, the conflict has also depreciated the Mexican peso and accelerated inflation to 4.02 percent in February.

 

 

 

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