Kalshi calls Wisconsin election betting ban voter suppression

The prediction market company Kalshi has criticized a Wisconsin law barring voters from betting on elections they participate in, labeling the rule a form of voter suppression.

Wisconsin election officials recently issued an advisory reminding voters that betting on an election in which they cast a ballot could disqualify their vote or lead to prosecution. The guidance is based on a state law originally passed in 1849.

Kalshi's politics lead Benjamin Freeman called the advisory "blatantly unconstitutional and illegal" and described it as "INSANE" and "dystopian." Company executives labeled the interpretation "bananas," while a spokeswoman said none of the hypothetical scenarios raised by critics would allow improper trading.

Ann Jacobs, a commissioner with the Wisconsin Elections Commission, said the advisory simply restated existing law and aimed to prevent voters from having a financial stake in outcomes. Experts including Matt Barreto of the UCLA Voting Rights Project and Charles Stewart of MIT noted concerns over election integrity, insider information, and potential foreign influence.

Election betting remains illegal in 32 states. Kalshi and state regulators continue legal disputes over whether the activity falls under federal or state oversight.

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Split image showing public division on election betting, with bettors on one side and protesters on the other.
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Poll shows Americans split on banning election-outcome betting

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A POLITICO survey conducted by Public First found that 44% of U.S. adults said betting on election outcomes should be illegal, reflecting public unease about political prediction markets as they expand beyond elections into wagers tied to government actions.

A Michigan judge has issued a temporary restraining order against prediction market platform Kalshi, barring it from offering sports-related wagers to state residents for 14 days.

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Minnesota lawmakers have advanced legislation aimed at restricting prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket, setting up a clash with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which argues federal law gives it exclusive authority over many of those products.

Spain’s gambling regulator has ordered internet providers to block access to prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi. The move targets unlicensed betting products tied to future events. Proceedings against the companies are expected to last three to four months.

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Venture capital firm a16z has filed an 18-page letter backing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in its disputes with states over prediction markets. The firm argues that federal law preempts state regulations on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. It claims state crackdowns undermine the CFTC's mandate for impartial market access.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has extended its review period for exchange-traded funds tied to prediction markets. These ETFs from Roundhill, Bitwise, and GraniteShares track odds on political races and economic indicators. The agency is seeking further clarity on their structure and disclosures.

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Federal authorities charged a Google software engineer in late May with insider trading after he allegedly won $1.2 million betting on Polymarket. The case is one of several recent incidents raising concerns about the use of nonpublic information on prediction platforms.

 

 

 

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