Illustration of TSE judges deliberating on AtlasIntel poll case involving Flávio Bolsonaro
Illustration of TSE judges deliberating on AtlasIntel poll case involving Flávio Bolsonaro
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TSE postpones analysis on suspension of AtlasIntel poll about Flávio Bolsonaro

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The Superior Electoral Court postponed on Tuesday the analysis of the decision that suspended the release of an AtlasIntel poll on voting intentions for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. After the vote of President Kassio Nunes Marques, Minister Estela Aranha requested more time to review the case.

The TSE adjourned the analysis of the preliminary decision by Kassio Nunes Marques that barred AtlasIntel from releasing the poll. The survey, released on May 19, showed a drop in Flávio Bolsonaro's voting intentions from 47.8% to 41.8%.The poll interviewed 5,032 people between May 13 and 18. Kassio stated that the questionnaire included an audio of Flávio with banker Daniel Vorcaro at the end, which could induce responses on image and voting intention.PL lawyer Maria Claudia Bucchianeri argued that the questionnaire had a “fatal problem” by structuring questions to influence perception of the pre-candidate. AtlasIntel defended the scientific rigor of the method and said the audio was presented after the voting questions.Kassio ordered the institute to submit technical documentation within two days and requested a statement from the Electoral Public Ministry within one day. Until a new deliberation, the release remains suspended.

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Initial reactions on X focus on the TSE postponing judgment on the AtlasIntel poll suspension after a request for more review time, with users debating potential censorship, methodological flaws, and political motivations behind the case involving Flávio Bolsonaro.

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Illustration of a Brazilian electoral judge suspending a poll on Flávio Bolsonaro versus Lula.
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TSE suspends Atlas poll on Flávio Bolsonaro

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The Superior Electoral Court suspended an Atlas/Bloomberg poll on Monday showing Flávio Bolsonaro six points behind Lula in a possible runoff. The ruling responds to a request filed by the senator on May 19.

TSE minister Kassio Nunes Marques proposed an accuracy seal for research institutes that come closest to official election results.

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Datafolha survey released on Friday (22) points to an advantage for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva over Flávio Bolsonaro in the presidential race.

President Lula criticized Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on Thursday for sending a document to the US government requesting tariffs be postponed until after Brazilian elections.

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Following his election last month, Minister Kassio Nunes Marques took office as president of the Superior Electoral Court on Tuesday, May 12, in a ceremony held in Brasília. André Mendonça assumed the vice presidency of the court. The new leadership will oversee the 2026 general elections.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro claimed in Brasília that Brazilian electronic voting machines originate from the Venezuelan company Smartmatic, which is false.

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