Musk: Cybercab and Optimus Initial Production to Be 'Agonizingly Slow' Despite Rapid Scaling Ahead

Following Tesla's Q4 2025 earnings announcement to repurpose factories for Cybercab robotaxis and Optimus robots, CEO Elon Musk warned on X of 'agonizingly slow' early production rates due to the projects' novelty, though he expects eventual rapid scaling. This tempers expectations amid Tesla's push into AI and autonomy.

In a post on X shortly after Tesla's Q4 2025 earnings call, CEO Elon Musk addressed production challenges for the Cybercab—a driverless robotaxi lacking a steering wheel or pedals—and Optimus, the humanoid robot key to Tesla's AI ambitions.

"For Cybercab and Optimus, almost everything is new, so the early production rate will be agonizingly slow, but eventually end up being insanely fast," Musk wrote. The statement underscores the hurdles of manufacturing groundbreaking tech, where initial ramps must resolve novel engineering issues before high-volume output.

This follows Tesla's plan to end Model S and X production by Q2 2026, freeing Fremont factory capacity for up to 1 million Optimus units annually and Cybercab rollout from Q2 2026. Musk views these as pivotal to Tesla's autonomy-focused future.

However, Tesla's self-driving tech shows mixed progress, with recent deployments sans safety monitors in Austin, Texas, still grappling with real-world obstacles. Full commercial launches for both products remain distant, potentially testing investor and consumer patience.

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Elon Musk speaks on the slow ramp-up of Cybercab and Optimus production, with factory visuals on screen.
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Elon Musk warns of agonizingly slow Cybercab and Optimus production ramps

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated that initial production for the Cybercab robotaxi and Optimus humanoid robot will start agonizingly slowly due to almost entirely new components, following an S-curve to high volume. Cybercab output begins at Giga Texas in under 100 days, supporting Tesla's unsupervised self-driving and Robotaxi ambitions, amid past 'production hell' experiences.

Tesla shares experienced volatility on January 21, 2026, dropping about 4% initially before rebounding nearly 3%, following CEO Elon Musk's comments on the slow start to production for the Cybercab robotaxi and Optimus humanoid robot. Musk described the early ramp-up as 'agonizingly slow' due to the novelty of the technologies. Investors await the company's Q4 earnings report on January 28 for more details on timelines and regulatory hurdles.

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Tesla is targeting a pivotal 2026 with Cybercab robotaxi production, Optimus humanoid robot manufacturing, Roadster demonstrations, and Full Self-Driving expansions, aiming to counter declining sales—including Cybertruck—and competition from BYD through AI and autonomy advancements.

Following the recent prototype sighting in downtown Austin, leaked images and video reveal Tesla's production-ready Cybercab—a steering- and pedal-less vehicle for the 2026 Robotaxi fleet. Design refinements prioritize passenger comfort, with the vehicle displayed at Santana Row showroom in San Jose and spotted on Austin public streets.

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As 2025 draws to a close, several ambitious forecasts from Tesla CEO Elon Musk about the company's growth and innovations have not come to pass. These include expectations for vehicle sales increases, robotaxi deployments, and production of humanoid robots. The shortfalls highlight ongoing challenges in the electric vehicle sector despite broader market gains.

Following Elon Musk's announcement of Optimus sales by 2027, Tesla's humanoid robot has started an apprenticeship at its Austin factory, learning complex tasks from camera-equipped trainers amid CES 2026 robotics advances. Deployment in factories is targeted by end-2026.

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Tesla's board chair Robyn Denholm indicated that the company's upcoming Cybercab robotaxi might feature a steering wheel and pedals to comply with U.S. safety regulations. This potential change contrasts with the vehicle's original design as a fully autonomous two-seater without manual controls. Production is slated for 2026, but regulatory limits could restrict deployment without such adaptations.

 

 

 

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