Garin warns of worst-case fuel supply depletion scenario

Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned that a potential fuel supply shortfall poses a greater risk than rising pump prices amid Middle East tensions. The Philippines has sufficient fuel supply for April, but the government is focused on preventing depletion. It is exploring alternative sources to sustain oil imports.

In an ANC interview on March 21, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned that the worst-case scenario is insufficient or no fuel supply at all. “Worst case really is we won't have enough, or we won't have any,” she said. Tensions escalated since February 28, with the government stating the country has 50 to 60 days of supply. Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, carrying 20% of global oil supply, have raised crude oil prices, with some stations selling diesel over P100 per liter. “Mas mahirap 'yung walang wala tayong diesel kaysa sa meron tayo pero mahal,” she explained, noting impacts on public transportation, air and sea travel, and goods delivery. “Kaya we are reaching out to all countries, alternative countries even to make sure na merong darating,” she added on sourcing alternatives amid war uncertainties. The Philippine National Oil Corporation is evaluating multiple offers for 1 to 2 million barrels of contingency reserves, though the government typically relies on private firms' 15-day replenishment cycle. It is willing to pay a premium for availability. Rising prices have prompted the Alliance of Concerned Transport Organization to plan a nationwide transport holiday on Monday, per president Libay de Luna. PISTON staged strikes on March 19 and 20.

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Motorists queue at a Metro Manila gas station with elevated fuel prices despite Strait of Hormuz safe passage assurances amid Iran war effects.
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Fuel prices stay high in Metro Manila despite Hormuz safe passage assurances

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Despite Philippine officials securing safe passage assurances through the Strait of Hormuz from Tehran, fuel prices in Metro Manila remained elevated on April 4 amid lingering effects of the Iran war—following President Marcos' March 24 national energy emergency declaration.

Philippine fuel supply may last until the second week of May with one million barrels expected soon, according to the Department of Energy. Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said the average supply stood at 45 days as of March 20, down from 55-57 days when the Middle East war began nearly a month ago.

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Department of Energy Secretary Sharon Garin stated that the Philippines faces no oil crisis, as fuel supply remains adequate despite record-high prices. She attributed the issue to rising global oil prices, not shortages. The DOE is monitoring distribution and warning against hoarding.

Fuel prices in the Philippines are set to surge next week due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, according to the Department of Energy. Minimum increases are estimated at P19 per liter for diesel, P9 for gasoline, and P31 for kerosene, though diesel could reach P90 per liter without staggered hikes. The DOE has warned against hoarding and price manipulation.

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Oil companies raised gasoline and diesel prices on May 19 while lowering kerosene rates, citing renewed geopolitical risks in the Middle East. The Department of Energy set maximum adjustments to stabilize the market.

A new analysis shows that an oil shock may drive more than 396,000 low-income households in the Philippines below the poverty line through higher food and transport costs.

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The Department of Energy stated that March 9 is the final day for capped fuel prices, with adjustments taking effect on March 10. Several gas stations reported supply shortages from the rush of customers. This occurs amid global oil price hikes due to escalating Middle East conflicts.

 

 

 

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