Garin warns of worst-case fuel supply depletion scenario

Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned that a potential fuel supply shortfall poses a greater risk than rising pump prices amid Middle East tensions. The Philippines has sufficient fuel supply for April, but the government is focused on preventing depletion. It is exploring alternative sources to sustain oil imports.

In an ANC interview on March 21, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned that the worst-case scenario is insufficient or no fuel supply at all. “Worst case really is we won't have enough, or we won't have any,” she said. Tensions escalated since February 28, with the government stating the country has 50 to 60 days of supply. Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, carrying 20% of global oil supply, have raised crude oil prices, with some stations selling diesel over P100 per liter. “Mas mahirap 'yung walang wala tayong diesel kaysa sa meron tayo pero mahal,” she explained, noting impacts on public transportation, air and sea travel, and goods delivery. “Kaya we are reaching out to all countries, alternative countries even to make sure na merong darating,” she added on sourcing alternatives amid war uncertainties. The Philippine National Oil Corporation is evaluating multiple offers for 1 to 2 million barrels of contingency reserves, though the government typically relies on private firms' 15-day replenishment cycle. It is willing to pay a premium for availability. Rising prices have prompted the Alliance of Concerned Transport Organization to plan a nationwide transport holiday on Monday, per president Libay de Luna. PISTON staged strikes on March 19 and 20.

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Image of a gas station in the Philippines illustrating rising fuel prices amid Middle East tensions.
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Fuel prices rise in Philippines as Middle East tensions persist

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Oil companies raised gasoline and diesel prices on May 19 while lowering kerosene rates, citing renewed geopolitical risks in the Middle East. The Department of Energy set maximum adjustments to stabilize the market.

Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned of a possible fuel price increase starting April 20, following a rollback announced by President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. effective April 14. She attributed this to uncertainties involving US President Donald Trump and Middle East conflicts. Garin shared this during a Senate PROTECT committee hearing on April 13.

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President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. assured that the Philippines has sufficient petroleum supply despite gas prices doubling due to the Gulf war. Foreign Affairs Secretary Maria Theresa Lazaro spoke with her Iranian counterpart to secure safe passage for Philippine vessels and seafarers in the Strait of Hormuz. The country received 700,000 barrels of Russian crude oil thanks to a US waiver.

MANILA, Philippines — The transport strike entered its fourth week as drivers’ groups intensified calls for a rollback in fuel prices. At the current world market rate, fuel prices should range from P70 to P75 per liter, said Manibela chairperson Mar Valbuena.

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Energy and Petroleum Cabinet Secretary Opiyo Wandayi has announced plans to establish long-term fuel reserves to shield Kenya from supply shocks. He made the remarks after appearing before a parliamentary committee on Monday, April 13, 2026. The country currently lacks formal reserves and depends on continuous imports.

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