Moody’s declassa il rating creditizio del Messico a Baa3 con outlook stabile

Moody’s Ratings ha ridotto il rating creditizio sovrano del Messico da Baa2 a Baa3, portando l’outlook a stabile. La decisione riflette il continuo indebolimento fiscale e le previsioni di una crescita economica contenuta.

Moody’s Ratings ha abbassato i rating a lungo termine dell'emittente e del debito senior non garantito del Messico da Baa2 a Baa3. L'agenzia ha modificato l'outlook da negativo a stabile, citando la rigidità della spesa, una base di entrate limitata e il continuo sostegno a Petróleos Mexicanos.

Il Ministero delle Finanze ha sottolineato che l'aggiustamento fiscale di 1,3 punti percentuali effettuato nel 2025 è stato il più ampio dal 1995. Ha inoltre evidenziato un avanzo primario di 98 miliardi di pesos nel primo trimestre del 2026 e riserve internazionali pari a 257 miliardi di dollari.

Moody’s ha ridotto le proprie previsioni di crescita del PIL reale a meno dell'1,0% per il 2026 e all'1,3% per il 2027. Il Ministero ha espresso fiducia nel fatto che il rating non subirà ulteriori tagli nei prossimi 18 mesi.

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