Moody’s rebaixa nota de crédito do México para Baa3 com perspectiva estável

A Moody’s Ratings reduziu a nota de crédito soberano do México de Baa2 para Baa3 e alterou a perspectiva para estável. A medida reflete o enfraquecimento fiscal contínuo e as previsões de crescimento econômico moderado.

A Moody’s Ratings rebaixou as notas de emissor de longo prazo e de dívida sênior sem garantia do México de Baa2 para Baa3. A agência alterou a perspectiva de negativa para estável, citando gastos rígidos, uma base de receita limitada e o apoio contínuo à Petróleos Mexicanos.

O Ministério das Finanças observou que o ajuste fiscal de 1,3 ponto percentual realizado em 2025 foi o maior desde 1995. Também destacou um superávit primário de 98 bilhões de pesos no primeiro trimestre de 2026 e reservas internacionais de 257 bilhões de dólares.

A Moody’s reduziu sua previsão de crescimento do PIB real para menos de 1,0 por cento em 2026 e 1,3 por cento em 2027. O ministério expressou confiança de que a nota não sofrerá novos cortes nos próximos 18 meses.

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