Analyst warns US Venezuelan oil risks Vaca Muerta investments

Political analyst Gustavo Córdoba warned that the US intervention in Venezuela, gaining abundant oil, endangers investments in Vaca Muerta, a key Argentine formation. Córdoba stated this diminishes Argentina's priority for Washington and shifts the international order.

Political analyst Gustavo Córdoba voiced concerns over the impacts of the recent US government expropriation of Venezuelan oil under President Donald Trump. In statements to Radio Continental, Córdoba emphasized that this action will have "multiple impacts, direct and indirect," on Argentina.

One direct effect, according to the expert, is the risk to investments in Vaca Muerta. "The fact that the US now has abundant oil from Venezuela puts investments in Vaca Muerta at risk," Córdoba stated. He explained that opportunities in this Neuquén area relied heavily on the United States as a main buyer, but now Venezuelan oil is "very easy to sell in the United States, especially now with this expropriation."

Furthermore, Córdoba pointed to a political impact: Argentina is no longer a priority for Washington or Trump. "Evidently, there is a new international order. There is a new way for the United States to conduct itself in the world," the consultant concluded. These remarks come amid the US intervention in Venezuela, which alters regional and global energy dynamics.

The Vaca Muerta formation has attracted investments due to its shale oil potential, but the abundance of Venezuelan supplies could lessen its appeal to foreign investors, particularly from the US.

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Illustration of Maduro's U.S. capture dividing Latin American leaders and publics, with poll data highlighting public support in Colombia and Chile.
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Latin American Polls and Geopolitical Shifts After U.S. Capture of Maduro

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Four days after U.S. forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, on charges of drug trafficking and human rights violations, a new Áltica poll across nine Latin American countries highlights divides between governments and publics. While leaders like Colombia's Gustavo Petro condemned the operation as a 'kidnapping,' majorities in Colombia (75%) and Chile showed pragmatic support amid border and security concerns.

ニコラス・マドゥロの拘束後、米石油会社がベネズエラの埋蔵量を開発することを認めるドナルド・トランプ大統領の発表から1日後、政治的・経済的リスクの中で実務的なアクセスと企業興味についての疑問が残る。ベネズエラ石油輸出に対する米国の禁輸は続いている。

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The recent US intervention in Venezuela, culminating in Nicolás Maduro's capture, has altered the regional oil landscape. President Donald Trump pledged to attract US investments to revitalize Venezuela's industry, while Colombia faces challenges in its crude production and exports. This dynamic could intensify competition in the heavy crude market.

Two analysts debate whether Brazil will face negative impacts from the US intervention in Venezuela, which led to Nicolás Maduro's capture. One argument highlights potential diplomatic and economic benefits, while the other warns of geopolitical and migration risks.

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マドゥロ捕縛後の米大手石油メジャーの障害に関する初期評価を基に、ベネズエラで事業を展開する唯一の米大手企業であるChevronは、カラカスへの米軍侵攻(少なくとも80人が死亡し、大統領が拉致された)後に利益を最大化する立場にある。制裁変更の中で広範なロビー活動によりライセンス延長を確保し、インフラ問題や政治的リスクにもかかわらず広大な埋蔵量への潜在的アクセスが可能となった。

The United States intercepted and seized a second oil tanker off Venezuela's coast on Saturday (20), days after President Donald Trump's total blockade announcement. The action, confirmed by US authorities, comes amid escalating tensions and marks the second in weeks. Nicolás Maduro's regime denounced it as robbery and vowed international measures.

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In the latest developments following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, President Donald Trump announced Venezuela's handover of 30-50 million barrels of oil to the U.S., with proceeds under American oversight. Maduro pleaded not guilty to narcotrafficking charges in New York, while interim President Delcy Rodríguez declared seven days of national mourning for at least 55 deaths in the operation.

 

 

 

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