Fertilizer prices rise nearly 10% due to US-Iran conflict

The closure of the Strait of Ormuz amid the US-Iran conflict has driven a 7.5% rise in global fertilizer prices over the past week, with urea surging 24%. Colombia, reliant on imports for most of these inputs, faces potential effects on its agricultural sector. Experts warn this could increase production costs for crops.

The conflict in the Middle East, worsened by the closure of the Strait of Ormuz, has created volatility in global markets. According to Bloomberg's Green Markets Fertilizer Price Index, fertilizer prices rose 7.5% between February 27 and March 6, 2026. Specifically, urea's price climbed from US$460 to US$570 per ton, a roughly 24% increase, per the US Gulf Nola Urea Granular Spot indicator.

Latin America relies on imports for up to 90% of its agricultural fertilizers. In Colombia, urea accounted for 27.8% of fertilizer imports in 2025, per Dane data. The country imports about 2 million tons annually, representing 12% to 30% of total crop production costs, said Jorge Bedoya, president of the Colombian Farmers' Society (SAC).

The Persian Gulf produces 30% of the world's urea, and 45% of global fertilizer trade passes through Ormuz. César Palacio, manager of Forteagro, noted that conflicts in these areas reduce supply and drive prices up, with estimated urea increases of US$80 to US$120. This could ripple into food prices, animal feed, and other goods.

While Colombia sources urea mainly from Trinidad and Tobago and the United States, the closure impacts the broader economy. Inventories cover 2-3 months, but crops like rice, coffee, corn, and potatoes may suffer if the situation continues. Urea has also risen 62% since December 2025, affected by the Russia-Ukraine conflict as well.

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Dramatic photo illustration of blocked Strait of Hormuz oil tankers, Iran-launched missiles striking Israel, and surging oil prices amid war escalation.
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Iran-Israel war escalates with Strait of Hormuz closure

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The ongoing war between Iran and Israel has intensified, with missile exchanges and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupting global oil supplies. Oil prices have surged above $100 per barrel, fueling market declines and inflation fears worldwide. Governments are responding with measures to stabilize energy markets amid concerns over prolonged conflict.

Global fertilizer prices are up 22.57% since before the Middle East war began on February 28—building on an initial 7.5% rise through early March—according to Bloomberg's Green Markets index. The Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts 45% of world fertilizer trade. Colombia's farmers face escalating costs, prompting a government subsidy.

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Brent crude oil prices have exceeded $100 a barrel amid Iranian attacks on commercial shipping and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The International Energy Agency and the United States are releasing oil reserves to counter supply concerns. In India, the crisis is fueling inflation risks, higher agricultural input costs, and trade disruptions.

Soybean prices have risen more than corn prices amid the war between Israel, the United States, and Iran, despite larger global soybean stocks. AgRural analyst attributes this to soybeans' more concentrated production and harder substitution. Brazilian producers saw gains offset by logistics costs.

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The ongoing conflict with Iran has halted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, driving up global oil and gas prices. This surge is providing short-term gains for producers outside the Persian Gulf region, such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron. Consumers in the US and Europe are facing higher bills as a result.

Following initial US and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, weekend attacks reportedly killed Ayatollah Ali Jamenei, prompting Iran's Revolutionary Guard to threaten closing the Strait of Hormuz. Mexico's export mix hit $66.63 per barrel on March 2—the highest in seven months—as global markets reacted with risk aversion; Mexico activated a gasoline price contingency plan.

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Following US and Israeli attacks on Iran last week, Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz on March 1, 2026, surging global oil prices and threatening fuel costs in Kenya just before the Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (EPRA) review on March 14.

 

 

 

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