Prosecutor's Office issues circular to prepare Colombia for El Niño

Colombia's Procuraduría General de la Nación issued Circular 001 of 2026, directing public entities to activate urgent measures against the impending El Niño phenomenon expected late in 2026. The directive warns of disciplinary sanctions for non-compliance and stresses preparations for water shortages, energy issues, and fires. Regions like Huila face heightened vulnerability.

Colombia's Procuraduría General de la Nación, via its Delegated Procuraduría for Environmental, Mining-Energy, and Agrarian Affairs, issued Circular No. 001 on April 17, 2026. Directed at national and territorial entities, it addresses warnings from bodies like the World Meteorological Organization and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which forecast over 60% probability of El Niño into early 2027.

The event may bring droughts, reduced river and reservoir flows, agricultural damage, and forest fires. The circular draws on laws including the Political Constitution, Law 99 of 1993, Law 1523 of 2012, and Law 1931 of 2018, requiring governors and mayors to enact prevention and mitigation plans.

Key directives include activating Municipal Disaster Risk Management Councils, updating contingency plans, enhancing monitoring and early warnings, and prioritizing potable water. For energy, it mandates reservoir optimization and alternative sources; for fires, reforestation and firebreaks; and for agriculture, efficient water use.

Authorities must submit detailed reports by June 30, 2026. Non-compliance risks investigations for omission and harm to fundamental rights, particularly in vulnerable areas like Huila.

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Drought-stricken Andes landscape with forest fires and NOAA El Niño forecast map overlay, illustrating 90% probability warning.
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NOAA raises El Niño probability to 90% for September 2026

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The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated its forecasts, estimating a 90% probability of El Niño starting in September 2026 and lasting through the year's final quarter. It raised the May-July projection from 25% in March to 61%. Experts warn of impacts in regions like the Caribbean, Andes, and Orinoquía, including forest fire risks from water deficits and thermal stress.

A report from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center states that the rains marking early 2026 in Colombia will continue at least until April, driven by La Niña's shift to a neutral phase. Experts warn of precipitation 41.6% more intense than in March 2025, per Ideam. In the second half of the year, there is a 50-60% chance of El Niño returning, potentially decreasing rains and raising temperatures.

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The Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (Ideam) warned of persistent rains in southwestern Colombia, emphasizing Valle del Cauca. These precipitations have caused emergencies in 27 municipalities, resulting in 11 deaths and infrastructure damage. Meanwhile, high levels in hydroelectric reservoirs have prompted the government to request reductions in energy prices.

フィリピン大気地球物理天文局(Pagasa)は、次の四半期にエルニーニョ現象が優勢になると予想されるため、警戒・警告システムを「エルニーニョ警戒レベル」に引き上げました。気候監視予測部門のAna Liza Solis部長は、6月から8月にかけてエルニーニョが発生する確率は79%であり、2027年まで続く可能性があると述べています。

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Hundreds of corn, bean, and soy farmers in Huila have incurred losses totaling 7.2 billion pesos from atypical rains in January and February. The National Federation of Cereal, Legume, and Soy Growers (Fenalce) urges the National Government to implement urgent support measures to mitigate the impact on the country's food security.

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The Superintendency of Public Utilities, Superservicios, has asked over 2,400 providers of water, sewer, and waste services to immediately activate their emergency and contingency plans. This action addresses the rise in rainfall in areas like the Caribbean, Andean, and Orinoquía regions, as reported by Ideam. The goal is to ensure the continuity and quality of these essential services amid potential disruptions.

 

 

 

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