Analysts predict positive growth figures for SA's first quarter

Economic analysts expect positive GDP growth figures for South Africa's first quarter when Statistics South Africa releases the data on Tuesday.

The boost in growth is expected to have been supported by mining and agricultural output in the period. Positive consumer spending patterns are also expected to contribute to the upward momentum. Makwe Masilela of Makwe Fund Managers noted that mining, which accounts for just under 6% of the economy, was up 0.6% in quarter one. Consumer spending, which accounts for almost 60% of the economy, should help given that inflation during that period was manageable and interest rates were still decent enough. The inflationary impact of the high oil price from the war in the Middle East is only expected to take effect from the second quarter of the year. Masilela added that the impact of this Iran war will only start to filter in quarter two.

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Illustration of South Korea's economic growth showing Seoul's skyline with GDP growth indicators.
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한국 경제 1분기 1.8% 성장…이전 추정치 상회

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한국은행은 1분기 실질 GDP가 전분기 대비 1.8% 성장했다고 9일 밝혔다. 이는 5년여 만에 가장 빠른 분기 성장률이다.

Stats SA data released on Tuesday showed South Africa's unemployment rate increased to 32.7 percent in the first quarter of 2026, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous quarter.

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Gross domestic product grew 2.3% in the first quarter compared with the same period in 2025, according to INDEC data. Mining, agriculture and Vaca Muerta drove the result.

Moody’s Ratings has changed South Africa’s credit outlook to positive from stable while keeping its Ba2 rating unchanged. The move reflects progress on fiscal management and reforms.

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Provisional GDP estimates released on Friday show 7.7 per cent growth for 2025-26. The figure exceeds the government's February prediction by 0.1 percentage points. Outlook for 2026-27 points to a slowdown.

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