Elon Musk and President Trump toasting at a reconciliatory dinner in Mar-a-Lago's grand dining room.
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Musk and Trump reconcile with dinner at Mar-a-Lago

Elon Musk and President Donald Trump have rekindled their friendship after a public falling-out last year, highlighted by a dinner at Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate and praise from the president aboard Air Force One. This renewed alliance could ease regulatory hurdles for Tesla's autonomous vehicle projects. Tesla shares showed mixed premarket reactions on January 5, 2026.

Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, and President Donald Trump appeared to mend their relationship over the weekend of January 3-4, 2026, following a period of discord in 2025. Musk dined with Trump and first lady Melania Trump at the Mar-a-Lago estate in West Palm Beach, Florida, describing the evening as a "lovely dinner" in a post on X accompanied by a photo. Musk wrote that "2026 is going to be amazing," signaling optimism about the renewed ties.

The reconciliation built on a makeup in September 2025. On January 5, aboard Air Force One, Trump praised Musk during a press interaction, calling him "great" and adding, "He’s 80% super genius and 20% he makes mistakes, but he’s a good guy. He’s a well-meaning person." This followed reports of their dinner and comes after Musk stepped back from his role leading the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) in Trump's administration last year to focus on Tesla and SpaceX.

For Tesla, the alliance holds potential benefits amid ongoing National Highway Traffic Safety Administration probes into its Autopilot and Full Self-Driving systems. Trump's administration has pursued deregulation in autonomous vehicles, including a voluntary framework proposed in January 2025, relaxed crash reporting in April, and Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards updates in September led by Transportation Secretary Sean P. Duffy. These changes aim to reduce bureaucracy and foster innovation, potentially aiding Tesla's Robotaxi network rollout, though it currently navigates state-level approvals.

Broader policies, such as tariffs on foreign competitors like BYD, align with Trump's focus on domestic manufacturing and AI. However, outcomes depend on sustained cooperation. Tesla's 2025 challenges included a 7% drop in China shipments to 851,732 vehicles, ceding the top EV maker spot to BYD, despite a 3.6% December uptick.

Stock reactions were mixed: Tesla rose 1.5% in premarket trading per some reports, while others noted a 2.6% slide to $438.07, reflecting investor focus on autonomy and robotics amid earnings due January 28.

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X discussions highlight positive reactions to Elon Musk and President Trump's reconciliation at Mar-a-Lago, with users celebrating their renewed friendship and Trump's praise calling Musk a 'super genius' and 'good guy'. High-engagement posts express optimism for 2026 and Tesla's potential regulatory advantages. Some voices express skepticism, labeling the reunion 'pathetic' after prior feuds. Tesla premarket gains were noted positively amid mixed stock reports.

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Morgan Stanley downgrades Tesla stock to hold rating

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Morgan Stanley downgraded its rating on Tesla shares from overweight to equal weight on December 8, 2025, citing valuation concerns and softer electric vehicle demand. Analyst Andrew Percoco raised the price target to $425 from $410 but warned of a choppy trading environment ahead. The move, the first downgrade since June 2023, contributed to a sharp decline in Tesla's stock price.

As 2025 draws to a close, Tesla's stock has risen 25.29% for the year despite recent dips and earnings misses. Analysts offer varied predictions, with bull cases highlighting AI-driven growth in robotaxis and robotics, while bears point to intensifying EV competition and eroding market share. The company's future hinges on executing ambitious plans in autonomy and beyond traditional vehicles.

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Steve Westly, a former Tesla board member, cautioned that the electric vehicle maker will face significant hurdles in maintaining its elevated stock valuation heading into 2026. He highlighted declining vehicle sales, profit pressures, and the need for progress in robotaxis and energy businesses. Investors, he said, will demand clear execution to justify current expectations.

Tesla shares dipped slightly to around $447 on December 12, 2025, following a sharp 23% year-over-year U.S. November sales drop to 39,800 vehicles—the lowest since January 2022—and board member Kimbal Musk's $25.6 million share sale on December 9. This adds to recent pressures, including Morgan Stanley's downgrade last week, amid an 'EV winter' and divided analyst views.

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Tesla shares fell 2.6% to $438.07 on Friday following a report of lower-than-expected fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries, allowing China's BYD to surpass it as the world's top EV seller for 2025. The company delivered 418,227 vehicles in the October-December period, down 15.6% from a year earlier, amid the end of U.S. federal tax credits. Investors now look to Tesla's January 28 earnings for signs of demand recovery and updates on robotics and autonomy.

Following last week's U.S. sales plunge and insider selling, Tesla's challenges spread to Europe and China in November, with sharp drops despite incentives. Stock nears $459 amid Musk's robotaxi push, but NHTSA probes FSD and analyst Ross Gerber flags 2026 risks.

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Tesla shares remained under pressure near $475 after Friday's 2.1% drop, as a Waymo power outage in San Francisco reignited regulatory debates on autonomous emergency responses, impacting perceptions of Tesla's robotaxi plans. Positive energy storage news and mixed delivery forecasts provide counterbalance ahead of January 2 figures.

 

 

 

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