China's January consumer price growth cools as inflation outlook remains unclear

China's consumer price index rose 0.2 percent year on year in January, missing market expectations, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. This marked the fourth consecutive monthly increase, though at a slower pace than December's 0.8 percent rise. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, showed a moderate upward trend amid recovering consumer demand.

China's consumer prices rose for the fourth consecutive month in January, increasing by 0.2 percent year on year, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday. This figure fell short of market expectations for a 0.44 percent rise, as polled by financial data provider Wind, and represented a slowdown from December's 0.8 percent increase—the fastest growth in nearly three years.

Senior statistician Dong Lijuan at the bureau attributed the muted CPI growth to the differing timing of the Lunar New Year holiday, which occurred in January last year but will take place in February this year, along with a retreat in global oil prices that pulled down energy costs.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.8 percent year on year, maintaining a "moderate upward trend" as consumer demand recovers, Dong noted.

The decline in producer prices, or factory-gate prices, also continued to narrow, offering a tentative sign that deflationary pressures in the Chinese economy may be easing. The inflation outlook remains unclear amid these mixed signals.

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South Korean market scene contrasting high food prices with stable fuel costs amid 2% inflation slowdown.
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South Korea's consumer prices rise 2% in January, slowest pace in five months

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South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

China's consumer price index rose 0.8 percent in the first two months of 2026, driven by a surge in spending during an extended Chinese New Year holiday. However, analysts remain concerned about long-term deflation risks.

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The Producer Price Index report indicates that wholesale inflation for final demand rose by 0.5% in January. This figure exceeded economists' expectations of 0.3% growth and followed a 0.4% increase in December. Core PPI, excluding food and energy, climbed 0.8% during the month.

New data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows consumer prices increased by 2.4% in January, below expectations, while average hourly earnings grew 3.7% over the past year. The Trump administration highlighted these trends as evidence of improving affordability under its policies. Private-sector job growth exceeded 170,000 in the month.

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South Korea's producer price index (PPI) rose 0.6 percent from a month earlier to 122.56 in February, marking the sixth consecutive monthly increase due to higher agricultural costs and global oil prices, Bank of Korea data showed. A key gauge of future consumer inflation, the index was up 2.4 percent year-on-year, the fastest growth since July 2024.

South Africa's consumer price index averaged 3.2% in 2025, down from 4.4% the previous year, staying within the Reserve Bank's target range. Inflation rose slightly to 3.6% in December, but economists remain optimistic due to factors like fuel price reductions and a stronger rand. The overall trend signals progress in managing price pressures.

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The Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) released a report on Friday, February 27, showing increases in prices of essential commodities, particularly vegetables, while inflation slightly declined. Kenyan households may need to tighten their budgets amid rising costs for food, health, and education services.

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