Dollar hoarding lessens amid FX market stabilization efforts

Purchases of the U.S. dollar have lessened in South Korea following a surge late last year prompted by expectations of further Korean won weakening, industry sources said. The trend reversal stems from foreign exchange authorities' stabilization measures, including temporary capital gains tax exemptions.

Purchases of the U.S. dollar have lessened following a surge late last year prompted by expectations of a further weakening of the Korean won, industry sources said Sunday. The trend reversal comes after foreign exchange authorities mobilized a range of measures to stabilize the currency, including temporary capital gains tax exemptions for investors who sell overseas stocks to invest in the domestic stock market.

According to the sources, the total balance of U.S. dollar deposits at the country's five major banks—Shinhan, Woori, Hana, KB Kookmin and NH Nonghyup—stood at $63.2 billion on Thursday, down 3.8 percent from the end of last year. The dollar deposits of companies, which account for 80 percent of the total, fell sharply from $52.4 billion to $49.8 billion over the period.

Demand for currency exchanges from won to dollar has also lessened, with this month's total through Thursday amounting to $364 million at the five major banks. The daily average exchange was $16.54 million, up 50 percent from last year's daily average. However, exchanges from dollar to won reached a daily average of $5.2 million, exceeding last year's $3.78 million, indicating increased profit-taking by selling dollars.

As dollar demand stabilizes, interest in gold has risen amid volatility from U.S. President Donald Trump's threat to acquire Greenland. As of Thursday, the total balance of gold-trading accounts at KB Kookmin, Shinhan and Woori banks increased 11.4 percent from the end of last month to 2.1 trillion won ($1.44 billion).

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Illustration of South Korean traders and regulators responding to won's record low against USD amid intensified FX monitoring.
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Financial authorities intensify FX monitoring and ease bank rules amid ongoing won decline

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Following the December 15 warnings, South Korea's financial authorities on December 18 intensified monitoring of the volatile FX market and announced eased regulations for banks, as the won hit 1,479.80 per dollar—the lowest since April.

South Korea's major commercial banks are intensifying efforts alongside government foreign exchange authorities to curb the local currency's recent weakness. They are offering incentives for customers to sell U.S. dollars and lowering interest rates on foreign-currency deposits. The won has been hovering near the 1,450 level against the dollar amid ongoing pressures.

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Foreign currency deposits in South Korea rose for a second consecutive month in December, hitting an all-time high amid weakness in the won. According to Bank of Korea data, outstanding deposits held by residents reached $119.43 billion, up $1.59 billion from the previous month. The surge reflects increased dollar holdings by companies and individuals due to currency volatility.

Building on recent verbal interventions, including a December 24 joint statement, experts predict the Korean won-dollar exchange rate will average 1,420 for 2025. The won fell to a post-November low of 1,440.3 per dollar on Friday, as authorities' measures continue through year-end.

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The South Korean won opened at 1,503.2 against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, down 3.5 won from the previous session, amid mixed signals on U.S.-Iran talks to end their monthlong conflict. The White House said Wednesday that the two sides had held 'productive' discussions, while Tehran insisted no negotiations took place. Global oil prices have surged with the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed, raising concerns for energy-import-dependent South Korea.

Bank of Korea Governor Rhee Chang-yong stated that the Korean won has depreciated far beyond a reasonable level, expressing concerns over its potential impact on inflation. Speaking at a Goldman Sachs global macro conference, he explained the recent weakness of the won and urged the National Pension Service to increase its FX hedging ratio.

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The South Korean won gained sharply against the US dollar on Tuesday, recovering from a 17-year low, after US President Donald Trump delayed strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. The move came amid talks cited as 'constructive' for ending the Middle East conflict. The rebound followed volatility from the Strait of Hormuz blockade disrupting oil supplies.

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