Dry season expected to start this week

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration expects the dry season to start this week. PAGASA weather specialist Grace Castañeda said cloudy skies with isolated rains will continue for now.

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said yesterday that the dry season is expected to start this week. PAGASA weather specialist Grace Castañeda noted that the country will continue to see cloudy skies with some isolated rains from time to time. The weather bureau may also announce the end of the northeast monsoon, or amihan season. “We are expecting that this type of weather will continue in the next few days and within this week we can officially terminate the amihan season and will coincide with the declaration of warm and dry season,” she said. PAGASA is currently not monitoring any low-pressure area subject for tropical cyclone formation.

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Photorealistic illustration of dissipating Tropical Depression Basyang over the Sulu Sea, with fading clouds and lingering rain over Philippine islands.
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Tropical depression Basyang dissipates after multiple landfalls

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Tropical Depression Basyang (Penha) weakened into a low pressure area over the Sulu Sea early on February 7, 2026, and fully dissipated by 8 a.m. This came after five landfalls in Mindanao and the Visayas. Though gone, the shear line and northeast monsoon continue to bring rain to various parts of the country.

Most parts of the Philippines may face rainy weather this week due to three weather systems, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

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Several parts of the country can expect rainy weather to kick off the New Year, according to PAGASA on January 1. The Northeast Monsoon is affecting northern and central Luzon, while a shear line is bringing rain to MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, and Quezon.

South Africa's summer rainfall areas, including Gauteng, have experienced heavy rains this season and are forecast to stay wet through late summer and early autumn. The South African Weather Service predicts above-normal rainfall in most regions from January to May, boosting dam levels but raising flood risks. While this bodes well for the summer maize crop, excessive rain could reduce yields.

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Most parts of the country can expect generally fair weather today as Tropical Depression Ada continues to move away, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. The Philippine Coast Guard reported one death and 31 rescues from maritime incidents caused by the storm.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has hoisted Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 over parts of eastern Mindanao due to the approaching Tropical Depression Basyang. It is located 735 kilometers east of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur, and is expected to make landfall on Thursday or Friday. Residents are advised to prepare for possible heavy rains and strong winds.

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A report from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center states that the rains marking early 2026 in Colombia will continue at least until April, driven by La Niña's shift to a neutral phase. Experts warn of precipitation 41.6% more intense than in March 2025, per Ideam. In the second half of the year, there is a 50-60% chance of El Niño returning, potentially decreasing rains and raising temperatures.

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