Ethiopia raises fuel prices by 16.6% as subsidy burden reaches 272 billion birr

Ethiopia's Ministry of Trade and Regional Integration has raised fuel prices effective April 1, 2026, with white diesel increasing by 16.6% to 163.09 birr per liter. The move comes as the fuel subsidy burden reaches nearly 272 billion birr. Officials cite global oil market disruptions from Middle East conflicts.

Ethiopia's Ministry of Trade and Regional Integration announced fuel price increases effective April 1, 2026. White diesel rose 16.6% to 163.09 birr per liter from 139.84 birr, heavy black diesel climbed 20.4% to 160.68 birr, and gasoline increased 7.7% to 142.41 birr. This marks the second major adjustment in a month and the sharpest monthly surge on record.

Minister Kassahun Gofe attributed the hikes to global oil price surges from Middle East conflicts, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which handles 20% of global oil supply. Shipments to Ethiopia—120,000 metric tons of diesel and 60,000 metric tons of jet fuel—are stranded in the Arabian Gulf. The government has turned to the spot market, where premiums jumped from $9.25 to $92.88 per barrel.

"Even with the current adjustments, domestic fuel prices remain well below actual market levels," officials said. The state still subsidizes 71 birr per liter of diesel and 32 birr for gasoline; without subsidies, diesel could reach 234.17 birr per liter. Total subsidies now exceed 272 billion birr, deemed unsustainable.

Large commercial users face differentiated pricing at 210 birr per liter for white diesel. A national task force prioritizes fuel for logistics, public transport, healthcare, utilities, agriculture, exports, and public institutions. Analysts warn of ripple effects raising transport costs and food prices.

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Realistic depiction of a gas station with surging fuel prices amid US-Iran tensions and oil disruptions.
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Oil companies raised fuel prices again on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, with diesel hikes up to P19.80 per liter. The increases stem from ongoing US-Iran tensions and global oil supply disruptions. This marks the 13th to 15th consecutive weekly rise.

The Ethiopian government has announced it will significantly reduce and fully eliminate fuel subsidies imposed over the past four years by the end of February 2026. This move forms part of economic reform commitments made with international financial institutions. A new price adjustment took effect at the start of the current Tahsas month, raising diesel prices by 11 percent and benzene by 5 percent.

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South African petrol prices will rise by R3.06 per litre to R23.25 inland from midnight on 1 April, while diesel reaches a record R26.11 per litre after a R7.51 increase. The hike stems from global oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel amid the Iran war and a weakened rand. A temporary R3 per litre reduction in the fuel levy cushions the impact.

South Africa's Fuels Industry Association states that fuel supplies are stable but tight, especially for diesel, ahead of price increases on 1 April 2026. President Cyril Ramaphosa said he and Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana are concerned about the situation. Taxi operators and consumers warn of impacts from hikes exceeding R5 per litre for petrol and nearly R10 for diesel.

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Global crude oil prices have surpassed 115 USD per barrel, triggered by escalation in the Iran-AS-Israel war and Houthi threats. Economists warn of fiscal risks for Indonesia, including rupiah weakening to Rp17,002 per USD and potential APBN deficit. Pertamina denies rumors of non-subsidy fuel price hikes starting April 1, 2026.

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Due to the war in the Middle East, diesel prices in the Philippines are expected to exceed P100 per liter, prompting public utility vehicle drivers to consider other jobs. Jeepney and tricycle drivers like Renie Rabago and Omeng Elardo struggle with rising fuel costs while their earnings remain low. The government offers a one-time P5,000 subsidy to assist them, though some say it is insufficient.

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