Iran war drives petrol price hikes, accelerating global EV uptake

The Iran war has caused worldwide petrol price hikes, expected to accelerate global electric vehicle (EV) uptake. In China, more than half of new car sales were EVs in 2025, potentially saving US$28 billion a year in avoided oil import costs.

The South China Morning Post reports that the Iran war is causing worldwide petrol price hikes, expected to accelerate global electric vehicle (EV) uptake. “Electric vehicles are increasingly cost-competitive with petrol cars. Oil volatility means EVs are a common-sense choice for countries wishing to insulate themselves from future shocks,” said Daan Walter, a principal at Ember. The report states that with oil at US$80 per barrel, China—where more than half of new car sales were EVs in 2025—could save over US$28 billion a year in avoided oil imports. Europe, where EVs accounted for 26 per cent of car sales in 2025, could save about US$8 billion annually. Keywords include Texas, Iran, European Commission, EU, US, France, Strait of Hormuz, UK, Middle East, China, Asia, Europe, International Energy Agency, Gulf countries, and Ember. Published on 2026-03-18.

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Illustration of Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade during war, driving up global oil and gas prices and threatening Europe's energy supply.
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War in Iran causes surge in energy prices

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On the fifth day of the war in Iran, Tehran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has driven up oil and gas prices, affecting the global economy. European gas prices rose from 32 to 49 euros per MWh, while Brent crude climbed from 72 to 82 dollars per barrel. Europe, vulnerable due to its reliance on imports, faces heightened risks if the conflict drags on.

Two weeks into Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices have surged above $100 a barrel and natural gas costs have risen, accelerating adoption of renewable energy and electric vehicles, analysts say. Asia, the primary recipient of fuels through the strait, faces acute vulnerability.

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Gasoline prices in the US have risen to $3.88 per gallon amid the war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, approaching a key threshold where electric vehicles become cheaper to own than gas cars. Analysts say prices above $4 per gallon shift the total cost of ownership in favor of EVs, prompting consumer interest. However, barriers like charging infrastructure and upfront costs may slow adoption.

Crude oil prices have climbed above $110 per barrel—up 20% in days and over 50% since the war began—as the US-Israel conflict with Iran persists into its second week, fueling fears of prolonged supply disruptions in the Persian Gulf. Asian markets tumbled, while US President Donald Trump called the spike a 'necessary sacrifice' for security.

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The war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, started on February 28, 2026, has driven oil prices above 100 dollars per barrel, closing the Strait of Hormuz and creating volatility in global markets. In Mexico, this could mean additional oil revenues of 406 billion pesos if the average price holds at 90 dollars for the year. However, the conflict has also depreciated the Mexican peso and accelerated inflation to 4.02 percent in February.

One day after US and Israeli attacks on Iran ignited oil price fears, the confirmed death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Tehran's retaliatory strikes have driven prices up as much as 13%—the largest jump in four years—amid fears of Strait of Hormuz disruptions, which carry 20% of global crude. OPEC+ ramps up output, while Mexico's peso weakens against the dollar.

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Escalation of conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has led Iran to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, halting tanker traffic and driving global oil prices above US$80 per barrel. The effects extend to Europe, which is now reconsidering plans to end Russian gas imports, while Indonesia pushes for de-escalation via the D-8 organization and assures stable fuel supplies.

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