Iran war drives petrol price hikes, accelerating global EV uptake

The Iran war has caused worldwide petrol price hikes, expected to accelerate global electric vehicle (EV) uptake. In China, more than half of new car sales were EVs in 2025, potentially saving US$28 billion a year in avoided oil import costs.

The South China Morning Post reports that the Iran war is causing worldwide petrol price hikes, expected to accelerate global electric vehicle (EV) uptake. “Electric vehicles are increasingly cost-competitive with petrol cars. Oil volatility means EVs are a common-sense choice for countries wishing to insulate themselves from future shocks,” said Daan Walter, a principal at Ember. The report states that with oil at US$80 per barrel, China—where more than half of new car sales were EVs in 2025—could save over US$28 billion a year in avoided oil imports. Europe, where EVs accounted for 26 per cent of car sales in 2025, could save about US$8 billion annually. Keywords include Texas, Iran, European Commission, EU, US, France, Strait of Hormuz, UK, Middle East, China, Asia, Europe, International Energy Agency, Gulf countries, and Ember. Published on 2026-03-18.

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Illustration of Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade during war, driving up global oil and gas prices and threatening Europe's energy supply.
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War in Iran causes surge in energy prices

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On the fifth day of the war in Iran, Tehran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has driven up oil and gas prices, affecting the global economy. European gas prices rose from 32 to 49 euros per MWh, while Brent crude climbed from 72 to 82 dollars per barrel. Europe, vulnerable due to its reliance on imports, faces heightened risks if the conflict drags on.

Two weeks into Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices have surged above $100 a barrel and natural gas costs have risen, accelerating adoption of renewable energy and electric vehicles, analysts say. Asia, the primary recipient of fuels through the strait, faces acute vulnerability.

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Gasoline prices in the US have risen to $3.88 per gallon amid the war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, approaching a key threshold where electric vehicles become cheaper to own than gas cars. Analysts say prices above $4 per gallon shift the total cost of ownership in favor of EVs, prompting consumer interest. However, barriers like charging infrastructure and upfront costs may slow adoption.

The Automatic Fuel Pricing Committee raised prices for all fuel categories by 15 to 22 percent at 3 a.m. on Tuesday. This sudden mid-week decision breaks the normal quarterly review pattern, with increases typically issued at the week's end. It followed a meeting where Prime Minister Mostafa Madbuly discussed options with ministers, including Petroleum Minister Karim Badawy, to address a potential energy crisis if the US-Israeli war on Iran persists.

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The escalation of the Iran war is driving up oil prices and causing noticeable increases at German gas stations. Diesel now costs an average of 2.04 euros per liter, gasoline 1.94 euros. Politicians are calling for government interventions against rising fuel costs.

Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said Filipinos will need to change lifestyles if global oil prices reach $200 per barrel, as the scenario no longer seems far-fetched three weeks into the Middle East war.

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Oil prices have rallied sharply following US and Israeli strikes on Iran, escalating Middle East tensions. Brent and WTI crude futures reached multi-month highs as supply risks through the Strait of Hormuz loom large. Analysts foresee further increases, potentially reaching $80 a barrel by 2026, up 20%.

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