Kenya inapoteza Ksh300 milioni kila wiki kutokana na migogoro ya Mashariki ya Kati

Waziri Mkuu wa Kilimo Mutahi Kagwe amefichua kuwa Kenya inapoteza Ksh300 milioni kila wiki kutokana na migogoro inayoendelea Mashariki ya Kati, ambayo imezuia usafirishaji wa bidhaa kama nyama na chai. Serikali imeanza kutafuta masoko mengine na kuunda timu ya kutathmini hali hiyo.

Katika taarifa kwa waandishi wa habari tarehe 12 Machi 2026, Waziri Mkuu wa Kilimo Mutahi Kagwe alisema migogoro kati ya Marekani na Israeli dhidi ya Iran imezuia usafirishaji wa bidhaa za Kenya hadi Mashariki ya Kati, soko kubwa la nyama na chai. "Kuna bidhaa ambazo tayari zimeathiriwa, kwa mfano, tunasafirisha hadi Mashariki ya Kati nyama yenye thamani ya Ksh300 milioni kila wiki," alisema Kagwe. Aidha, Kenya inasafirisha bidhaa nyingine za chakula hadi Iran, na kitengo cha usambazaji wa chai Dubai, ambapo chai yetu huchanganywa kwa ajili ya nchi za Mashariki ya Kati.

Serikali imehakikisha kuwa wameanza mchakato wa kutafuta masoko mengine ili kubadilisha yale yaliyoathiriwa haraka iwezekanavyo. Timu imeshaundwa ili kutathmini hali na kupanga jinsi ya kulinda sekta ya kilimo na usafirishaji dhidi ya athari za kiuchumi. "Kuna masoko mengine yaliyotokana na hali hii, na tunaamini tutaweza kushughulikia masoko hayo na kubadilisha yale yaliyo katika migogoro sasa," aliongeza Kagwe.

Migogoro ilianza na shambulio la Marekani na Israeli dhidi ya malengo ya kimkakati Tehran tarehe 28 Februari 2026, na Iran kujibu kwa mashambulizi, na hivyo kufunga njia kuu za biashara na anga. Hali hii inaweza kusababisha usumbufu wa muda mrefu wa usambazaji, na kuwafanya bei za nishati zipande juu, na kuongeza gharama kwa biashara na watumiaji ulimwenguni. Bei za mafuta ya kimataifa zimeshuka hadi zaidi ya Ksh12,900 kwa pipa moja baada ya migogoro, kutokana na usumbufu katika Mlango wa Hormuz wa Iran, ambao hupitia asilimia 20 ya matumizi ya mafuta duniani. Tarehe 9 Machi, bei za mafuta ghafi ziliongezeka kwa asilimia 30, huku Brent ikipanda kwa 26%, na mafuta mengine kama heating oil kwa 22% na petroli kwa 14%.

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Dramatic composite image depicting Strait of Hormuz oil tanker explosion from US-Israeli strikes on Iran alongside Indian stock market crash amid surging oil prices.
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Middle East Conflict: Tuesday Market Losses Mount as Oil Surges Continue

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Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted Strait of Hormuz disruptions, oil prices rose nearly 8% amid ongoing tensions. Indian markets shed Rs 6.35 lakh crore on Tuesday, with the rupee weakening on supply fears. Globally, the dollar strengthened as a safe haven while the yen and euro weakened.

One month into disruptions from the Middle East conflict, Kenya is losing Sh250 million weekly in livestock and meat exports to Gulf markets, with total losses exceeding Sh1 billion, Finance Minister John Mbadi told parliament.

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One month into disruptions from the Middle East conflict, Trade Cabinet Secretary Lee Kinyanjui warned that Kenya's exports—especially to the key Middle East market worth Ksh164.6 billion—are facing doubled transit times of up to 20 days due to Red Sea and Gulf restrictions, spoiling time-sensitive flowers, coffee, and other goods while hiking freight costs. The government is pursuing alternative routes, port upgrades at Mombasa and Lamu, and market diversification.

Kenya's foreign exchange reserves dropped by Ksh 47.5 billion to USD 13.656 billion, providing 5.8 months of import cover, the Central Bank of Kenya announced. The decline comes amid export disruptions from the Iran war and looming fuel shortages. Officials say the reserves still meet statutory requirements.

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Brent crude oil prices have exceeded $100 a barrel amid Iranian attacks on commercial shipping and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The International Energy Agency and the United States are releasing oil reserves to counter supply concerns. In India, the crisis is fueling inflation risks, higher agricultural input costs, and trade disruptions.

US importers have cut orders from Hong Kong firms and shifted to short-term contracts amid a global oil crisis triggered by war in the Middle East. Business leaders warn of eroding profit margins and strained liquidity, urging the government to bolster ties with Central Asia and Asean nations to diversify market risks. Executive Council member Jeffrey Lam Kin-fung said the situation will impact SMEs' cash flow.

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The US-Israel-Iran war has severely disrupted Middle East tourism, leaving hotels in Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi empty. According to the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC), the region suffers at least $600 million in daily losses. Airspace closures have led to flight cancellations and higher travel costs.

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