Lifestyle change seen if oil reaches $200 per barrel

Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said Filipinos will need to change lifestyles if global oil prices reach $200 per barrel, as the scenario no longer seems far-fetched three weeks into the Middle East war.

In a Thursday interview on ANC, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said it is time to reduce fuel dependency and start 'electrifying everything' if Brent Crude breaches $200 per barrel. 'We have to change our lifestyle, I think,' she told ANC, noting that she has used electric vehicles since the conflict erupted on Feb. 28 due to rising fuel costs. She warned of unpredictable fuel supply in the Philippines if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of the world's oil passes. 'Worst case really is we won’t have enough, or we won’t have any… that’s why I’m laser-focused not to run dry because we need to have oil in this country for the economy to grow,' she said. Garin urged Filipinos to conserve energy as a 'small sacrifice,' even if supplies remain stable until end of April, suggesting to avoid unnecessary car use, carpool, work from home, and stay home if no mall errands needed. The Philippines' daily oil consumption hit 486,600 barrels per day in 2024, returning to pre-pandemic levels per the Energy Institute’s 'Statistical Review of World Energy,' growing at 3.7% annually from 2014-2024, surpassing Malaysia, Singapore, and South Korea. Other Asian countries have acted: Pakistan and Bangladesh canceled classes, Maldives and Nepal rationed LPG. The International Energy Agency issued 10 recommendations on Friday, including work-from-home, highway speed reductions, public transport, carpooling, electric cooking, and avoiding air travel where possible.

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Illustration depicting surging oil prices over 115 USD due to Middle East conflict, with economic impacts on Indonesia including rupiah weakening.
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Global oil prices surpass 115 USD due to Middle East conflict

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Global crude oil prices have surpassed 115 USD per barrel, triggered by escalation in the Iran-AS-Israel war and Houthi threats. Economists warn of fiscal risks for Indonesia, including rupiah weakening to Rp17,002 per USD and potential APBN deficit. Pertamina denies rumors of non-subsidy fuel price hikes starting April 1, 2026.

Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned that a potential fuel supply shortfall poses a greater risk than rising pump prices amid Middle East tensions. The Philippines has sufficient fuel supply for April, but the government is focused on preventing depletion. It is exploring alternative sources to sustain oil imports.

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The Philippines has approached Russia for possible oil imports amid global supply disruptions, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said. Fuel inventories are sufficient until April, with talks ongoing with other exporters. The move responds to surging prices from Middle East tensions.

Manila Mayor Isko Moreno Domagoso has ordered a 50% reduction in fuel use across the city government in response to supply and price disruptions from the US-Iran conflict in the Middle East. This comes as oil prices are set to rise in the Philippines next week. The measures aim to safeguard public funds and essential services.

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Crude prices briefly fell after reports that the International Energy Agency would release oil reserves, but rebounded as markets doubted the plan would proceed to offset supply shocks from the US-Israeli conflict with Iran. The proposed drawdown would exceed the 182 million barrels released in 2022. Brent and West Texas Intermediate prices rose by session's end.

Oil prices rocketed above $100 per barrel on Monday, driven by fears of prolonged supply disruptions from the escalating Iran war in the Middle East. The conflict, including strikes in Beirut and threats against Iran's leadership, has heightened risks to the Strait of Hormuz. This surge marks the biggest jump since 2020, fueling concerns over global fuel prices and inflation.

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President Donald Trump ordered US and Israeli attacks on Tehran in the early morning of February 28, 2026, prompting an Iranian missile response against Israel. This Middle East conflict endangers global oil supply via the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of the world's crude passes. In Mexico, which imports gasoline, it could lead to price hikes if the conflict persists.

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